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Minnesota at Butler
Tue Mar 19, 2024
9:00pm ET
Indianapolis, IN
Minnesota at Butler: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Butler by 4.5, Total Points: 150.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MINN | adv | BUT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 25-9-0 | 14-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 14-7-0 | 7-14-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 17-3-0 | 6-11-0 | |
| Away | 8-6-0 | 8-7-0 |
Minnesota Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Beth-Cook | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | UTSA | -12.0 | W by 26 | +14.0 |
| 11/16 | Home | Missouri | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | SC Upstate | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -18.5 | W by 19 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | San Francisco | +5.0 | L by 18 | -13.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | New Orleans | -12.0 | W by 33 | +21.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Ohio St | +12.5 | L by 10 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Nebraska | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | IUPUI | -22.5 | W by 36 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Ball St | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 18 | +4.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan | +5.5 | W by 2 | +7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Maryland | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Indiana | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Iowa | -3.0 | L by 9 | -12.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Michigan St | +12.0 | L by 10 | +2.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Wisconsin | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Penn St | +2.5 | W by 9 | +11.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Iowa | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Purdue | +16.5 | L by 8 | +8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Rutgers | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Nebraska | +7.0 | L by 18 | -11.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Illinois | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Penn St | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Indiana | -5.5 | L by 12 | -17.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Northwestern | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Butler | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Indiana St | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
Butler Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | E Michigan | -16.0 | W by 39 | +23.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | SE Missouri | -20.0 | W by 35 | +15.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | E Tenn St | -17.0 | W by 34 | +17.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | Michigan St | +10.0 | L by 20 | -10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Penn St | (Pick) | W by 10 | +10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Boise St | +1.5 | W by 14 | +15.5 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Buffalo | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | California | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 12/15 | Home | Saginaw Valley | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 12/19 | Home | Georgetown | -10.5 | W by 10 | -0.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | Providence | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | St Johns | +6.5 | L by 16 | -9.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Connecticut | +5.0 | L by 7 | -2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Marquette | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Seton Hall | -4.0 | L by 6 | -10.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Xavier | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | DePaul | -16.5 | W by 14 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Georgetown | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Villanova | -1.5 | W by 7 | +5.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Creighton | +10.0 | W by 1 | +11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Connecticut | +14.0 | L by 9 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Providence | -6.0 | W by 3 | -3.0 |
| 02/13 | Home | Marquette | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Creighton | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Villanova | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Seton Hall | +6.0 | L by 12 | -6.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | St Johns | (Pick) | L by 23 | -23.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | DePaul | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Xavier | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Xavier | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | Minnesota | -4.5 | L by 1 | -5.5 |
| BUT -4.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3910 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Butler won the game 2553 times (65.3%).
- The team like Minnesota won the game 1357 times (34.7%).
- The team like Butler did better against the spread, going 1935-1918-57 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5234 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Minnesota did better against the spread, going 2575-2556-103 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/19 08:46 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 07:32 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 07:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 03:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 02:00 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 12:38 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 11:44 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 11:29 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 10:50 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 06:37 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 04:55 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 02:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 01:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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