NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN BUT
Points 76.0 76.0
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 42.7 38.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.4 24.7
Points From Free Throws 10.0 12.7
Shooting MINN BUT
Field Goals Made 29.1 27.6
Field Goals Attempted 61.6 60.2
Field Goal % 47.3% 45.8%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 19.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.0 39.3
2 Point Shooting % 54.7% 49.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 8.2
3 Pointers Attempted 22.6 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.6% 39.4%
Free Throws Made 10.0 12.7
Free Throws Attempted 14.7 15.8
Free Throw % 67.9% 80.1%
Ball Control MINN BUT
Rebounds 35.3 33.5
Rebounds - Defensive 26.0 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 9.3 7.8
Turnovers 10.1 10.1
Blocked Shots 4.6 3.0
Steals 7.0 5.9
Fouls 13.0 12.3

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN BUT
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 70.6 69.2
% of Possessions with MINN BUT
2 Point Attempt 47.7% 48.5%
3 Point Attempt 27.5% 25.7%
Player Fouled 17.2% 18.3%
Turnover 14.1% 14.1%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN BUT
Shot Blocked 5.2% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.5% 23.2%