NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MINN NW
Points 71.7 74.0
Total Points   145.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.0 36.7
Points From 3-Pointers 22.5 24.4
Points From Free Throws 14.2 12.9
Shooting MINN NW
Field Goals Made 25.0 26.5
Field Goals Attempted 50.8 58.4
Field Goal % 49.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 17.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 30.7 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 57.1% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.5 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 18.7
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 43.6%
Free Throws Made 14.2 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 17.0
Free Throw % 67.9% 75.6%
Ball Control MINN NW
Rebounds 32.6 30.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.7 22.7
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 8.0
Turnovers 11.3 7.8
Blocked Shots 4.4 3.4
Steals 4.7 7.1
Fouls 14.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: Minnesota

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MINN NW
Total Possessions 67.7
Effective Scoring Chances 63.2 67.9
% of Possessions with MINN NW
2 Point Attempt 40.4% 51.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.6% 24.1%
Player Fouled 22.2% 21.4%
Turnover 16.7% 11.6%
Opponent Steal 10.5% 7.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MINN NW
Shot Blocked 6.0% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 23.7%