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Stetson at Liberty
Sat Feb 22, 2020
5:00pm ET
Lynchburg, VA
Stetson at Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 15.5, Total Points: 115
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | STET | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 12-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 4-13-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 6-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 5-12-0 |
Stetson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Baptist | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Houston | +32.5 | L by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | WI-Milwkee | +4.0 | W by 18 | +22.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Central Mich | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | UCF | +12.5 | W by 3 | +15.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 12/03 | Away | Chicago St | -7.5 | L by 23 | -30.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Charlotte | +8.0 | L by 23 | -15.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Florida Christian College | -- | W by 80 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.5 | L by 8 | -9.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida Intl | +5.0 | W by 12 | +17.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Cincinnati | +21.0 | L by 8 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | N Florida | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Queens | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Chicago St | -10.0 | L by 7 | -17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 21 | +23.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Alabama | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Central Ark | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Bellarmine | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -5.0 | W by 1 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Kennesaw St | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | W by 13 | +12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | N Florida | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Jacksonville | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Connecticut | +27.5 | L by 39 | -11.5 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| LIB -15.5 | Open | -16.0 | High | -16.0 |
| Last | -16.0 | Low | -15.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1054 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 991 times (94.0%).
- The team like Stetson won the game 63 times (6.0%).
- The team like Stetson did better against the spread, going 521-516-17 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3419 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Liberty did better against the spread, going 1723-1633-63 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/22 04:54 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 04:41 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 03:37 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 01:22 PM | -16.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 11:12 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 08:16 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
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