NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring STET LIB
Points 72.2 76.6
Total Points   148.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.5 38.3
Points From 3-Pointers 21.7 30.0
Points From Free Throws 12.0 8.3
Shooting STET LIB
Field Goals Made 26.5 29.2
Field Goals Attempted 54.7 60.4
Field Goal % 48.3% 48.3%
2 Pointers Made 19.2 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 34.0 33.5
2 Point Shooting % 56.6% 57.2%
3 Pointers Made 7.2 10.0
3 Pointers Attempted 20.7 26.9
3 Point Shooting % 34.8% 37.2%
Free Throws Made 12.0 8.3
Free Throws Attempted 16.0 12.9
Free Throw % 75.1% 64.5%
Ball Control STET LIB
Rebounds 31.9 32.2
Rebounds - Defensive 25.5 24.2
Rebounds - Offensive 6.4 8.0
Turnovers 9.1 7.5
Blocked Shots 3.2 1.8
Steals 4.1 4.2
Fouls 13.3 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats STET LIB
Total Possessions 67.3
Effective Scoring Chances 64.5 67.8
% of Possessions with STET LIB
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 43.7%
3 Point Attempt 27.9% 35.1%
Player Fouled 21.7% 19.8%
Turnover 13.6% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken STET LIB
Shot Blocked 3.0% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 20.8% 23.9%