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Stetson at IPFW
Sat Nov 16, 2019
7:00pm ET
Fort Wayne, IN
Stetson at IPFW: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue Fort Wayne by 8.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | STET | adv | PFW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-0 | 19-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 6-7-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-9-0 | 12-7-1 |
Stetson Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Baptist | -- | W by 55 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | UNLV | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Houston | +32.5 | L by 31 | +1.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | WI-Milwkee | +4.0 | W by 18 | +22.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Central Mich | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/26 | Away | UCF | +12.5 | W by 3 | +15.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Coastal Georgia | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 12/03 | Away | Chicago St | -7.5 | L by 23 | -30.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Charlotte | +8.0 | L by 23 | -15.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Florida Christian College | -- | W by 80 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.5 | L by 8 | -9.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Florida Intl | +5.0 | W by 12 | +17.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Cincinnati | +21.0 | L by 8 | +13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charlotte | +3.5 | W by 4 | +7.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | N Florida | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Kennesaw St | +4.5 | L by 18 | -13.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Queens | -2.0 | W by 18 | +16.0 |
| 01/15 | Home | Chicago St | -10.0 | L by 7 | -17.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Lipscomb | +2.5 | W by 21 | +23.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Alabama | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Central Ark | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Bellarmine | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | E Kentucky | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -5.0 | W by 1 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Kennesaw St | -2.5 | W by 12 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Jacksonville | -1.0 | W by 13 | +12.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | N Florida | +2.0 | L by 19 | -17.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Queens | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 03/07 | Home | Jacksonville | -6.5 | W by 1 | -5.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Austin Peay | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Connecticut | +27.5 | L by 39 | -11.5 |
IPFW Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Away | DePaul | +11.5 | W by 8 | +19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Andrews University | -- | W by 96 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | N Arizona | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | South Dakota | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | San Francisco | +13.5 | L by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wittenberg | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/29 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oakland | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | S Indiana | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | SE Missouri | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Beth-Cook | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Pittsburgh | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Detroit | -13.0 | W by 35 | +22.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wright St | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Youngs St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Rob Morris | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | IUPUI | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Cleveland St | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | N Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Youngs St | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Cleveland St | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | IUPUI | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Oakland | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +2.0 | W by 26 | +28.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wright St | +6.0 | W by 2 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Rob Morris | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Rob Morris | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Oakland | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Bowling Grn | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Tarleton St | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Norfolk St | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| PFW -8.5 | Open | -8.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -- | Low | -8.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2166 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7.5 to 9.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue Fort Wayne won the game 1717 times (79.3%).
- The team like Stetson won the game 449 times (20.7%).
- The team like Stetson did better against the spread, going 1073-1055-38 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2735 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Stetson did better against the spread, going 1344-1336-55 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -8.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/16 05:01 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 12:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/16 11:04 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/16 10:44 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 09:07 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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