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Iowa at Virginia
Mon Nov 29, 2021
7:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Iowa at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 2, Total Points: 129.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | IOWA | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-1 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-13-1 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-10-1 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 7-10-0 |
Iowa Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | North Dakota | -20.5 | W by 42 | +21.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Alabama St | -31.5 | W by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Creighton | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Arkansas St | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +1.5 | L by 12 | -10.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -1.5 | W by 13 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | N Florida | -26.5 | W by 25 | -1.5 |
| 12/04 | Away | Purdue | +13.5 | L by 19 | -5.5 |
| 12/07 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 25 | -17.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Michigan | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.0 | W by 36 | +12.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Maryland BC | -27.5 | W by 22 | -5.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Illinois | -18.0 | W by 29 | +11.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Rutgers | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/12 | Home | Nebraska | -4.5 | W by 18 | +13.5 |
| 01/15 | Away | Minnesota | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Purdue | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | Maryland | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Michigan | +1.5 | W by 10 | +11.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | Indiana | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/02 | Home | Ohio St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Penn St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/11 | Home | Minnesota | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Maryland | +5.5 | L by 12 | -6.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wisconsin | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Michigan St | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Illinois | +9.5 | L by 10 | -0.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Penn St | -9.0 | W by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Illinois | +2.0 | L by 12 | -10.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio St | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Kansas St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 03/24 | Away | Utah | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -2.0 | Open | +1.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.5 | Low | +2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2743 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 1565 times (57.1%).
- The team like Iowa won the game 1178 times (42.9%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 1384-1299-60 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 233 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Iowa did better against the spread, going 120-105-8 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.0 | -2.0 |
| Open | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/29 07:02 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:46 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:24 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 06:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/29 06:10 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:07 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:05 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/29 05:54 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/29 05:31 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 05:13 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:49 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:25 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:04 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 01:43 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/29 01:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/29 12:55 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/29 12:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 12:34 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 12:25 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 12:04 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 11:44 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 11:37 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 11:13 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:58 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:54 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -2.0 |
| 11/29 10:37 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/29 10:19 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:55 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/29 09:46 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:35 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/29 09:31 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:19 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 09:14 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 11/29 09:05 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/29 08:58 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:55 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/29 08:54 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 11/29 08:37 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:35 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/29 08:13 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 08:05 AM | -- | -- | +2.0 |
| 11/29 07:52 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 07:14 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 11/29 07:05 AM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 11/29 06:43 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 06:35 AM | -- | -- | +2.0 |
| 11/29 05:34 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 11/29 05:19 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 03:01 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 02:13 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 01:34 AM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 11/29 12:35 AM | -- | -- | +1.0 |
| 11/28 10:45 PM | -- | -- | +1.5 |
| 11/28 09:49 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:52 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:43 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:13 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:04 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 11/28 04:55 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
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