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TX Christian at Miss State
Sat Jan 28, 2023
4:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
TX Christian at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas Christian by 1.5, Total Points: 132.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TCU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-8-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 10-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
TX Christian Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Southern | -27.5 | W by 33 | +5.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Neb Omaha | -26.5 | W by 22 | -4.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -29.0 | W by 33 | +4.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 34 | -6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Alcorn St | -27.5 | W by 19 | -8.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Hsn Christian | -34.5 | W by 37 | +2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Georgetown | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Clemson | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona St | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -14.0 | W by 24 | +10.0 |
| 12/22 | Neutral | Nevada | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 12/24 | Away | Hawaii | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -26.0 | W by 35 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas | +9.0 | L by 2 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.0 | W by 9 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Houston | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Cincinnati | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Iowa St | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Baylor | +4.0 | W by 3 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Texas Tech | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Texas | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Iowa St | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 16 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas Tech | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | BYU | +6.5 | L by 12 | -5.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | W Virginia | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | UCF | -8.0 | L by 2 | -10.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Houston | +11.5 | L by 15 | -3.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Utah St | -4.0 | L by 16 | -20.0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| TCU -1.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.0 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2025 games where the closing line favored the away team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas Christian won the game 1102 times (54.4%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 923 times (45.6%).
- The team like Texas Christian did better against the spread, going 999-993-33 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3765 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1858-1839-68 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/28 03:43 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 03:10 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:44 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 02:30 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 01/28 01:20 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 12:34 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:59 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 11:51 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/28 10:50 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/28 01:56 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 01/27 07:38 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/27 07:02 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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