NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring TCU MSST
Points 73.9 73.9
Total Points   147.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.9 40.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.4 19.1
Points From Free Throws 14.6 14.2
Shooting TCU MSST
Field Goals Made 26.6 26.6
Field Goals Attempted 58.7 54.9
Field Goal % 45.3% 48.5%
2 Pointers Made 20.5 20.3
2 Pointers Attempted 39.4 35.0
2 Point Shooting % 52.0% 57.9%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 19.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.6% 32.0%
Free Throws Made 14.6 14.2
Free Throws Attempted 20.0 21.7
Free Throw % 72.7% 65.5%
Ball Control TCU MSST
Rebounds 33.6 33.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.3 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 10.2
Turnovers 12.2 13.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.3
Steals 8.0 7.3
Fouls 15.8 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: TX Christian

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats TCU MSST
Total Possessions 72.3
Effective Scoring Chances 71.4 68.6
% of Possessions with TCU MSST
2 Point Attempt 46.4% 41.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.8% 23.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 21.8%
Turnover 16.8% 19.1%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken TCU MSST
Shot Blocked 6.2% 6.0%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 31.3%