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Miami vs. Houston
Fri Mar 24, 2023
7:15pm ET
Kansas City, MO
(Neutral Site)
Miami vs. Houston: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Houston by 8, Total Points: 140.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | HOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-16-2 | 17-18-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-2 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L3 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 10-5-2 | |
| Away | 6-8-1 | 7-13-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
Houston Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | UL Monroe | -30.5 | W by 53 | +22.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -34.0 | W by 32 | -2.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Stetson | -32.5 | W by 31 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Towson | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Utah | -9.5 | W by 10 | +0.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Dayton | -12.5 | W by 14 | +1.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Montana | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Xavier | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Rice | -27.5 | W by 36 | +8.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Jackson St | -34.0 | W by 34 | 0.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Texas St | -27.5 | W by 35 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | U Penn | -27.0 | W by 39 | +12.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | W Virginia | -20.0 | W by 34 | +14.0 |
| 01/09 | Away | Iowa St | -2.5 | L by 4 | -6.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | TX Christian | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Texas Tech | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | UCF | -17.5 | W by 15 | -2.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | BYU | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kansas St | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 01/29 | Away | Texas | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Kansas | -1.0 | L by 13 | -14.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Oklahoma St | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Texas | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Iowa St | -8.0 | W by 8 | 0.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Cincinnati | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Oklahoma | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | UCF | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Kansas | -7.5 | W by 30 | +22.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX Christian | -11.5 | W by 15 | +3.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Texas Tech | -10.5 | W by 23 | +12.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Iowa St | -5.5 | L by 28 | -33.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Longwood | -24.0 | W by 40 | +16.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Texas A&M | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Duke | -4.5 | L by 3 | -7.5 |
| HOU -8.0 | Open | -7.0 | High | -8.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 572 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Houston won the game 435 times (76.0%).
- The team like Miami won the game 137 times (24.0%).
- The team like Houston did better against the spread, going 285-275-12 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3746 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 1843-1828-75 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/24 07:13 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/24 07:13 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 07:07 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 06:54 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 03/24 06:49 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 06:25 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 06:07 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 05:34 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 05:07 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 02:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 02:46 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 11:40 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 07:55 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 04:19 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 01:16 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 06:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 03/23 12:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/23 12:04 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 11:49 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 02:25 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:37 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 06:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 05:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 03:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 01:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 11:16 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 04:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 02:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/22 01:13 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/21 09:43 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/21 09:40 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 09:23 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/21 07:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/21 04:31 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 03:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 02:28 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 09:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/21 09:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 03/20 11:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 09:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 07:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 03:28 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 12:53 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 12:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 11:50 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 10:10 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 10:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 09:35 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 09:28 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 07:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 03/20 12:16 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 12:13 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
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