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Miami vs. Texas
Sun Mar 26, 2023
5:05pm ET
Kansas City, MO
(Neutral Site)
Miami vs. Texas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas by 3.5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MIA | adv | TEX |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-16-2 | 14-20-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-12-2 | 8-11-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-8-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 7-11-0 | |
| Away | 6-8-1 | 7-9-0 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Incar Word | -31.0 | W by 32 | +1.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Delaware St | -32.5 | W by 27 | -5.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Rice | -20.5 | W by 16 | -4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Louisville | -17.5 | W by 1 | -16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Connecticut | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Wyoming | -16.0 | W by 23 | +7.0 |
| 11/30 | Home | Texas St | -19.5 | W by 19 | -0.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Marquette | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Hsn Christian | -33.0 | W by 27 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | LSU | -7.0 | W by 11 | +4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -23.5 | W by 16 | -7.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -15.5 | W by 35 | +19.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | TX-Arlington | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Cincinnati | +5.0 | W by 1 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | W Virginia | -6.0 | L by 3 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | UCF | -8.5 | L by 6 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Baylor | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | W by 15 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | BYU | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Houston | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX Christian | +4.5 | W by 11 | +15.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | W Virginia | -13.0 | W by 36 | +23.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Houston | +10.0 | L by 21 | -11.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Kansas St | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Kansas | +7.0 | L by 19 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Texas Tech | +3.5 | W by 12 | +15.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | Baylor | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | Oklahoma | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas St | -6.0 | L by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Colorado St | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Tennessee | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| TEX -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1092 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas won the game 702 times (64.3%).
- The team like Miami won the game 390 times (35.7%).
- The team like Texas did better against the spread, going 581-495-16 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5451 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Miami did better against the spread, going 2704-2634-113 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/26 05:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/26 05:07 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 04:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 04:33 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/26 04:16 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 03:31 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 02:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 01:16 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 01:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/26 11:49 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 11:37 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 11:17 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 10:49 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/26 09:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 05:46 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 04:59 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:31 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 09:25 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 09:24 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/25 06:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 05:24 AM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 03/25 03:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 01:07 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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