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Connecticut vs. Gonzaga
Sat Mar 25, 2023
8:49pm ET
Las Vegas, NV
(Neutral Site)
Connecticut vs. Gonzaga: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 2.5, Total Points: 153.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CONN | adv | GONZ |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 28-12-0 | 17-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 15-8-0 | 10-8-0 | |
| Streak | W7 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 5-0-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 9-1-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 9-7-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| Away | 19-5-0 | 11-9-0 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
Gonzaga Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Yale | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Eastern Oregon | -- | W by 66 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Purdue | +5.5 | L by 10 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | -12.5 | W by 19 | +6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UCLA | -4.5 | W by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | CS Bakersfld | -27.5 | W by 16 | -11.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | USC | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -33.0 | W by 40 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Washington | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Miss Val St | -41.5 | W by 38 | -3.5 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Connecticut | +3.5 | L by 13 | -9.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Jackson St | -26.5 | W by 24 | -2.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | San Diego St | -6.5 | L by 10 | -16.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Pepperdine | -21.0 | W by 26 | +5.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | San Diego | -24.0 | W by 27 | +3.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Santa Clara | -8.0 | L by 1 | -9.0 |
| 01/18 | Away | Pepperdine | -12.5 | W by 25 | +12.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | San Diego | -18.0 | W by 42 | +24.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | San Francisco | -8.5 | W by 5 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Pacific | -24.5 | W by 9 | -15.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | Loyola Mymt | -14.5 | W by 34 | +19.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | St Marys | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Portland | -28.5 | W by 32 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kentucky | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Pacific | -31.0 | W by 26 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | Portland | -22.0 | W by 21 | -1.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Santa Clara | -15.5 | W by 13 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | San Francisco | -4.0 | W by 18 | +14.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | St Marys | +3.5 | W by 13 | +16.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | San Francisco | -9.5 | W by 12 | +2.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | St Marys | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Kansas | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Purdue | +4.5 | L by 12 | -7.5 |
| CONN -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1152 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 683 times (59.3%).
- The team like Gonzaga won the game 469 times (40.7%).
- The team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 609-525-18 (53.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3746 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Gonzaga did better against the spread, going 1843-1828-75 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/25 08:58 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 08:43 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 03/25 08:37 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 06:16 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 05:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 05:31 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 04:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:34 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 03/25 02:49 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 02:17 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:52 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 12:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 10:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 09:59 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 08:58 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 08:37 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 08:04 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 06:31 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/25 03:16 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 04:50 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 04:19 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 01:52 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 01:19 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 10:25 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 08:10 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/24 12:53 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 03/24 12:49 AM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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