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Southern at Louisville
Tue Nov 9, 2021
9:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Southern at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 26.5, Total Points: 138.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SOU | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-15-0 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-8-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-3-0 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 7-12-0 | 8-6-0 |
Southern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | TX Christian | +27.5 | L by 33 | -5.5 |
| 11/08 | Away | UNLV | +20.5 | W by 14 | +34.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Arizona | +31.0 | L by 38 | -7.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | W Illinois | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 11/19 | Away | Illinois | +25.0 | L by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Valparaiso | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Marquette | +32.0 | L by 37 | -5.0 |
| 12/03 | Away | Miss State | +26.0 | W by 1 | +27.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | SE Louisiana | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Champion Baptist | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | Tulane | +14.5 | L by 24 | -9.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Wiley | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/31 | Home | Ecclesia College | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 01/06 | Home | TX Southern | -4.0 | W by 7 | +3.0 |
| 01/08 | Home | Prairie View | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida A&M | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Beth-Cook | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Grambling St | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 01/29 | Home | Miss Val St | -19.5 | W by 24 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alcorn St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 02/05 | Away | Jackson St | +3.0 | W by 9 | +12.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alab A&M | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 02/12 | Home | Alabama St | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Prairie View | -2.0 | W by 6 | +4.0 |
| 02/19 | Away | TX Southern | +2.5 | L by 12 | -9.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Grambling St | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Beth-Cook | -7.0 | L by 6 | -13.0 |
| 03/04 | Home | Florida A&M | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Alabama St | (Pick) | W by 8 | +8.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alab A&M | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Beth-Cook | -5.5 | L by 15 | -20.5 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -26.5 | Open | -25.5 | High | -26.5 |
| Last | -25.5 | Low | -25.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 216 games where the closing line favored the home team by 25.5 to 27.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 214 times (99.1%).
- The team like Southern won the game 2 times (0.9%).
- The team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 113-101-2 (52.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2716 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 1346-1318-52 (50.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/09 08:16 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 06:02 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 05:44 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 03:29 PM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 11:32 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 11:20 AM | -26.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:32 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:17 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 09:56 AM | -25.5 | -- | -- |
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