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UCF at Cincinnati
Sat Feb 4, 2023
12:00pm ET
Cincinnati, OH
UCF at Cincinnati: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Cincinnati by 6.5, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | CIN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 19-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 12-7-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Away | 7-7-0 | 9-7-0 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Cincinnati Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Detroit | -24.0 | W by 32 | +8.0 |
| 11/12 | Home | E Washingtn | -12.5 | W by 12 | -0.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | N Kentucky | -12.5 | W by 24 | +11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | GA Tech | -10.0 | W by 35 | +25.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Howard | -12.0 | W by 5 | -7.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -17.5 | W by 37 | +19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Xavier | +1.0 | L by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | Bryant | -21.0 | W by 32 | +11.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Dayton | -5.5 | L by 14 | -19.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Merrimack | -20.0 | W by 16 | -4.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Stetson | -21.0 | W by 8 | -13.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Evansville | -18.5 | W by 18 | -0.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | BYU | +10.0 | W by 11 | +21.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Texas | -5.0 | L by 1 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Baylor | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | TX Christian | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Oklahoma | -3.5 | L by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/22 | Away | Kansas | +8.0 | L by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | UCF | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | W Virginia | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Texas Tech | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Houston | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Iowa St | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | UCF | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Oklahoma St | -10.0 | L by 4 | -14.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | TX Christian | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Houston | +13.5 | L by 8 | +5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas St | -6.0 | W by 2 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Oklahoma | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Virginia | -11.0 | W by 36 | +25.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Kansas | -3.0 | W by 20 | +17.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Baylor | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 03/20 | Home | San Francisco | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 03/23 | Home | Bradley | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 03/26 | Away | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 4 | +1.5 |
| CIN -6.5 | Open | -3.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -5.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3270 games where the closing line favored the home team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Cincinnati won the game 2361 times (72.2%).
- The team like Central Florida won the game 909 times (27.8%).
- The team like Cincinnati did better against the spread, going 1606-1606-58 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 190 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Cincinnati did better against the spread, going 95-92-3 (50.8% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -5.0 | -5.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 12:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/04 11:43 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 10:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 10:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 02/04 09:53 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:22 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:05 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 07:54 AM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 02/04 01:40 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 06:54 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:49 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
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