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Bellarmine at Liberty
Thu Feb 9, 2023
7:00pm ET
Lynchburg, VA
Bellarmine at Liberty: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Liberty by 14.5, Total Points: 125
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BELL | adv | LIB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-19-0 | 12-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-12-0 | 4-13-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L4 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-8-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| Away | 7-11-0 | 5-12-0 |
Bellarmine Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Washington | +10.5 | L by 34 | -23.5 |
| 11/10 | Away | Kansas St | +16.0 | L by 8 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Chattanooga | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Bowling Grn | +3.5 | W by 18 | +21.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Morehead St | -4.5 | L by 13 | -17.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 21 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | W Virginia | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 11/29 | Away | Louisville | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Ball St | +1.5 | L by 9 | -7.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 34 | -- |
| 12/07 | Home | Berea College | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 12/16 | Home | Evansville | -1.0 | L by 9 | -10.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah | +20.5 | L by 42 | -21.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | BYU | +28.0 | L by 42 | -14.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | High Point | +9.5 | L by 5 | +4.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Austin Peay | -2.5 | L by 16 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Lipscomb | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 01/11 | Away | N Alabama | +5.0 | L by 16 | -11.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Central Ark | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | E Kentucky | +11.0 | L by 12 | -1.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | N Florida | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Jacksonville | -3.5 | W by 6 | +2.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kennesaw St | +8.5 | W by 1 | +9.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Queens | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | Stetson | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | +9.0 | L by 11 | -2.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | E Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 10 | -4.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Central Ark | -5.5 | W by 3 | -2.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Alabama | +4.5 | W by 12 | +16.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Lipscomb | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 03/01 | Away | Austin Peay | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
Liberty Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mid-Atlantic Christian | -- | W by 60 | -- |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Furman | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Wichita St | -4.0 | W by 17 | +13.0 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Vermont | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Maryland ES | -25.0 | W by 37 | +12.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +7.5 | L by 25 | -17.5 |
| 12/01 | Neutral | Col Charlestn | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Miss Val St | -30.5 | W by 35 | +4.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Grd Canyon | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | TN State | -15.0 | W by 22 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | St. Andrews Presbyterian | -- | W by 73 | -- |
| 12/20 | Away | Utah Valley | -3.5 | W by 16 | +12.5 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Alabama | +9.5 | L by 45 | -35.5 |
| 01/01 | Home | Boyce | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | W Kentucky | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Jksnville St | -11.0 | L by 10 | -21.0 |
| 01/14 | Away | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Florida Intl | -13.5 | W by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Jksnville St | -5.5 | L by 11 | -16.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | N Mex State | -5.0 | L by 6 | -11.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 2 | -1.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Middle Tenn | -11.0 | W by 35 | +24.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | LA Tech | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Florida Intl | -7.5 | L by 5 | -12.5 |
| 02/29 | Home | N Mex State | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | TX El Paso | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Middle Tenn | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | W Kentucky | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| LIB -14.5 | Open | -16.0 | High | -16.0 |
| Last | -15.5 | Low | -14.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1336 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13.5 to 15.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Liberty won the game 1238 times (92.7%).
- The team like Bellarmine won the game 98 times (7.3%).
- The team like Bellarmine did better against the spread, going 673-641-22 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2013 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Bellarmine did better against the spread, going 1028-947-38 (52.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/09 05:13 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 04:58 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 04:16 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 02:55 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 09:49 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 09:19 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/09 08:16 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
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