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UCF at Connecticut
Wed Feb 26, 2020
7:00pm ET
Hartford, CT
UCF at Connecticut: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 7.5, Total Points: 134.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 28-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 9-1-0 | |
| Home | 12-7-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-7-0 | 19-5-0 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| CONN -7.5 | Open | -9.0 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -8.0 | Low | -7.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2854 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 2180 times (76.4%).
- The team like Central Florida won the game 674 times (23.6%).
- The team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 1410-1397-47 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1970 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 965-963-42 (50.1% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| History | |||
| 02/26 06:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 06:15 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 05:30 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 04:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 03:20 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 02:58 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:35 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 02/26 11:26 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 02/26 10:48 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:56 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 09:09 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/26 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/26 01:34 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/25 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 02/25 05:55 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 02/25 05:46 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
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