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UCF at Illinois St
Sun Nov 17, 2019
2:00pm ET
Normal, IL
UCF at Illinois St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois St. by 2.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UCF | adv | ILST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-14-0 | 14-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-7-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 12-7-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 7-7-0 | 7-9-0 |
UCF Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.0 | W by 23 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Miami | +9.5 | L by 16 | -6.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | CS Fullerton | -9.5 | W by 28 | +18.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | S Dakota St | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Charlotte | -5.0 | W by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/26 | Home | Stetson | -12.5 | L by 3 | -15.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Lipscomb | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | Jacksonville | -14.5 | W by 42 | +27.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Mississippi | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Maine | -14.0 | W by 23 | +9.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Florida A&M | -24.5 | W by 13 | -11.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Beth-Cook | -23.0 | W by 44 | +21.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Kansas St | +5.0 | L by 25 | -20.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Kansas | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | BYU | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas | +8.5 | W by 6 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Houston | +17.5 | L by 15 | +2.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Cincinnati | +7.5 | L by 11 | -3.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Baylor | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Oklahoma | +1.5 | W by 11 | +12.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Texas Tech | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | BYU | +12.5 | L by 2 | +10.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | L by 2 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | W Virginia | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas Tech | -2.0 | W by 14 | +12.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Oklahoma St | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Iowa St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | TX Christian | +8.0 | W by 2 | +10.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | BYU | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | S Florida | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| ILST -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -1.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2372 games where the closing line favored the home team by 1 to 3 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 1346 times (56.7%).
- The team like Central Florida won the game 1026 times (43.3%).
- The team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1170-1150-52 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 831 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Central Florida did better against the spread, going 421-391-19 (51.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.0 | -1.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/17 01:57 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 01:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/17 01:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 01:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/17 12:34 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 12:25 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/17 11:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/17 11:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/17 10:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 09:56 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 09:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 11/17 09:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 11/17 09:06 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -1.5 |
| 11/16 09:14 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 11/16 07:13 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 06:59 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
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