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TX-Arlington at Arkansas
Wed Dec 2, 2020
9:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
TX-Arlington at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 14.5, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UTA | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 23-9-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 17-6-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 7-3-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 9-4-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 14-5-0 | 5-11-0 |
TX-Arlington Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Oral Roberts | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Texas-Tyler | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/16 | Away | New Mexico | +14.5 | L by 2 | +12.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Arizona | +27.5 | L by 45 | -17.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Alcorn St | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Texas St | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Abl Christian | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Grd Canyon | +11.0 | L by 7 | +4.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | North Texas-Dallas | -- | W by 37 | -- |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Air Force | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Texas Tech | +13.0 | L by 11 | +2.0 |
| 12/23 | Away | North Texas | +7.5 | L by 26 | -18.5 |
| 01/01 | Away | Texas | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | Tarleton St | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Ste F Austin | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 01/11 | Home | Utah Valley | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Seattle | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | TX-Pan Am | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Abl Christian | -1.5 | L by 11 | -12.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Grd Canyon | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | S Utah | +1.0 | W by 8 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Utah Tech | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | Cal Baptist | +3.5 | L by 1 | +2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ste F Austin | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Tarleton St | -5.0 | L by 2 | -7.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | TX-Pan Am | -9.0 | W by 19 | +10.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | S Utah | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Utah Tech | -10.5 | W by 11 | +0.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Seattle | +6.0 | W by 20 | +26.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Utah Valley | +2.0 | W by 13 | +15.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Cal Baptist | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ste F Austin | -3.0 | W by 31 | +28.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tarleton St | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Grd Canyon | +6.0 | L by 15 | -9.0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -14.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -14.5 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -14.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1062 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13.5 to 15.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 987 times (92.9%).
- The team like Texas-Arlington won the game 75 times (7.1%).
- The team like Texas-Arlington did better against the spread, going 525-519-18 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 30 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 17-13 (56.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -14.5 |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -15.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/02 08:58 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 08:54 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 08:31 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 07:07 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 06:22 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 05:44 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/02 05:43 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 05:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 04:59 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 02:45 PM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/02 02:32 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 01:41 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 12:26 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 11:25 AM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/02 11:23 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:38 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/02 10:11 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 10:06 AM | -- | -- | -13.0 |
| 12/02 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/02 06:44 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/02 04:55 AM | -- | -- | -14.5 |
| 12/02 03:05 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/02 02:50 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/01 10:29 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/01 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -15.0 |
| 12/01 06:54 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/01 06:47 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
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