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North Texas at Arkansas
Sat Nov 28, 2020
6:00pm ET
Fayetteville, AR
North Texas at Arkansas: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Arkansas by 8, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNT | adv | ARK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-13-0 | 12-21-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-8-0 | 8-12-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-5-0 | 7-10-0 | |
| Away | 11-8-0 | 5-11-0 |
North Texas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Home | N Iowa | -4.0 | W by 6 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Neb Omaha | -14.5 | W by 11 | -3.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | St Johns | +5.5 | L by 1 | +4.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | LSU | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Towson | -4.5 | W by 26 | +21.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | Angelo State | -- | W by 29 | -- |
| 12/02 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Away | Boise St | +5.5 | L by 5 | +0.5 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Fordham | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Miss State | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 12/23 | Home | TX-Arlington | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | LSU Shreveport | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 01/04 | Away | Wichita St | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Tulane | -2.5 | W by 14 | +11.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Temple | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | E Carolina | -3.0 | W by 1 | -2.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Charlotte | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
| 01/25 | Home | S Methodist | +1.0 | W by 2 | +3.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Fla Atlantic | +9.5 | L by 3 | +6.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | UAB | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Florida | -6.5 | L by 5 | -11.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tulsa | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 02/11 | Away | S Methodist | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | Memphis | -1.0 | W by 10 | +9.0 |
| 02/18 | Away | UAB | +3.0 | L by 9 | -6.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | UTSA | -14.0 | L by 2 | -16.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Tulane | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | E Carolina | -9.0 | W by 15 | +6.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Fla Atlantic | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Rice | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Tulane | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 03/19 | Away | LSU | +2.5 | W by 7 | +9.5 |
| 03/23 | Away | Seton Hall | +4.5 | L by 14 | -9.5 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
| ARK -8.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -8.5 |
| Last | -8.5 | Low | -8.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2351 games where the closing line favored the home team by 7 to 9 points. In these games:
- The team like Arkansas won the game 1842 times (78.3%).
- The team like North Texas won the game 509 times (21.7%).
- The team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 1173-1123-55 (51.1% ATS).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 29 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 16-13 (55.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.0 | -8.0 | -8.0 |
| Open | -8.5 | -8.5 | -8.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 05:59 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:14 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:35 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:04 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/28 03:14 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:53 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:38 PM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:04 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/28 11:56 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:38 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/28 10:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/28 10:23 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:11 AM | -8.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:54 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -8.0 |
| 11/28 09:38 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:35 AM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 11/28 08:44 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:50 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:55 PM | -- | -- | -8.5 |
| 11/27 09:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/27 08:44 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 11/27 08:29 PM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
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