NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP MTU
Points 67.8 62.7
Total Points   130.5
Points From 2-Pointers 38.8 28.8
Points From 3-Pointers 13.8 16.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 17.7
Shooting UTEP MTU
Field Goals Made 24.0 19.8
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 46.0
Field Goal % 42.1% 43.0%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 14.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.3 28.3
2 Point Shooting % 45.8% 50.9%
3 Pointers Made 4.6 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 14.6 17.8
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 30.4%
Free Throws Made 15.2 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 24.8
Free Throw % 68.0% 71.4%
Ball Control UTEP MTU
Rebounds 32.1 35.0
Rebounds - Defensive 21.5 26.2
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 8.9
Turnovers 11.7 18.4
Blocked Shots 2.9 3.8
Steals 9.6 5.1
Fouls 17.9 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: TX El Paso

Expected Effect: +0.6 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP MTU
Total Possessions 71.7
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 62.2
% of Possessions with UTEP MTU
2 Point Attempt 50.5% 34.6%
3 Point Attempt 17.4% 21.7%
Player Fouled 21.7% 25.0%
Turnover 16.3% 25.6%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 13.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP MTU
Shot Blocked 8.3% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 29.2%