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TX El Paso at W Kentucky
Sat Feb 4, 2023
4:00pm ET
Bowling Green, KY
TX El Paso at W Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 3, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | WKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-18-1 | 19-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 13-6-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-10-1 | 12-8-0 |
TX El Paso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | McMurry | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 11/09 | Home | Univ. of Science and Arts (OK) | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/13 | Home | UCSB | -2.0 | W by 13 | +11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Austin Peay | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | California | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Bradley | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Loyola Mymt | +4.0 | L by 20 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -13.5 | L by 4 | -17.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Western New Mexico | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Oregon | +13.0 | L by 22 | -9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | Abl Christian | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.5 | W by 2 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Wyoming | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Seattle | -1.5 | L by 12 | -13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | N Mex State | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Chicago St | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida Intl | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/18 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | W Kentucky | -1.5 | W by 6 | +4.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | LA Tech | +10.5 | L by 14 | -3.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Jksnville St | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Mex State | -5.5 | W by 25 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | W Kentucky | +7.0 | L by 10 | -3.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Middle Tenn | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | LA Tech | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Sam Hous St | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Jksnville St | +4.5 | W by 7 | +11.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Liberty | +9.0 | W by 16 | +25.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Florida Intl | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 9 | +12.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Sam Hous St | +5.0 | W by 2 | +7.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | W Kentucky | +2.5 | L by 7 | -4.5 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Kentucky Wesleyan | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Wichita St | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Murray St | +1.0 | W by 5 | +6.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kentucky State | -- | W by 20 | -- |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Bowling Grn | -4.5 | W by 7 | +2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Canisius | -6.5 | L by 8 | -14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | NC-Asheville | -6.0 | L by 10 | -16.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Campbellsville | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/03 | Home | E Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Buffalo | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 12/12 | Away | Wright St | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Austin Peay | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 12/19 | Away | Cal Baptist | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Abl Christian | -5.0 | W by 2 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Liberty | +3.5 | W by 2 | +5.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Sam Hous St | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Jksnville St | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | TX El Paso | +1.5 | L by 6 | -4.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 23 | +16.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | LA Tech | +10.0 | W by 5 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Jksnville St | +2.0 | W by 11 | +13.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | TX El Paso | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Mex State | -9.5 | W by 14 | +4.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Middle Tenn | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | LA Tech | -2.0 | L by 6 | -8.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Florida Intl | -3.5 | L by 2 | -5.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Liberty | +6.5 | L by 3 | +3.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Mex State | -6.5 | W by 20 | +13.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Middle Tenn | -6.0 | W by 31 | +25.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | TX El Paso | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Marquette | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| WKU -3.0 | Open | -3.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3591 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 2162 times (60.2%).
- The team like Texas-El Paso won the game 1429 times (39.8%).
- The team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1781-1728-82 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5018 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas-El Paso did better against the spread, going 2497-2417-104 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/04 01:52 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 12:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 11:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 02/04 11:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/04 08:08 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/03 07:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 02/03 06:52 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
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