NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UTEP WKU
Points 71.1 74.1
Total Points   145.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.2 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 18.3 14.9
Points From Free Throws 16.6 17.7
Shooting UTEP WKU
Field Goals Made 24.2 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 51.5
Field Goal % 43.4% 49.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.1 20.7
2 Pointers Attempted 36.3 36.0
2 Point Shooting % 49.8% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 6.1 5.0
3 Pointers Attempted 19.4 15.4
3 Point Shooting % 31.5% 32.3%
Free Throws Made 16.6 17.7
Free Throws Attempted 24.4 24.3
Free Throw % 68.0% 72.7%
Ball Control UTEP WKU
Rebounds 30.2 35.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.2 27.0
Rebounds - Offensive 9.0 8.3
Turnovers 15.1 18.4
Blocked Shots 3.2 3.3
Steals 10.8 8.0
Fouls 18.5 18.0

Playing Style Advantage: W Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UTEP WKU
Total Possessions 77.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.9 67.0
% of Possessions with UTEP WKU
2 Point Attempt 41.6% 41.6%
3 Point Attempt 22.2% 17.8%
Player Fouled 23.4% 24.0%
Turnover 19.6% 23.8%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 14.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UTEP WKU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 28.2%