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Syracuse at Virginia
Mon Jan 25, 2021
7:00pm ET
Charlottesville, VA
Syracuse at Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia by 7.5, Total Points: 130
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SYR | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-19-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-13-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 7-9-0 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 6-10-0 | 7-10-0 |
Syracuse Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Hampshire | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Canisius | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Colgate | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Tennessee | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Gonzaga | +12.5 | L by 19 | -6.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Chaminade | -21.5 | W by 49 | +27.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | LSU | -1.5 | W by 23 | +21.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Virginia | +10.5 | L by 22 | -11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Cornell | -5.0 | W by 11 | +6.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | Georgetown | -1.5 | W by 12 | +10.5 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | Oregon | +4.0 | W by 20 | +24.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Niagara | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Pittsburgh | -1.0 | W by 8 | +7.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Duke | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 36 | -24.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Pittsburgh | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Florida St | -3.5 | L by 16 | -19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | NC State | +1.0 | W by 12 | +13.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | L by 5 | -1.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Wake Forest | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 2 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Clemson | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | N Carolina | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | GA Tech | -2.0 | L by 5 | -7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | NC State | +6.0 | W by 4 | +10.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Notre Dame | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | VA Tech | -1.0 | W by 13 | +12.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Louisville | -5.0 | W by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 15 | -5.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | NC State | -1.5 | L by 18 | -19.5 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| UVA -7.5 | Open | -6.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2685 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia won the game 2051 times (76.4%).
- The team like Syracuse won the game 634 times (23.6%).
- The team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 1323-1318-44 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 75 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Virginia did better against the spread, going 40-35 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/25 06:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 01/25 06:53 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 05:44 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 05:02 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 04:50 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 04:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 03:17 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:55 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 01/25 02:53 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 02:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 01:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 12:23 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:17 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/25 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 01/25 09:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:56 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:54 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/25 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/25 08:28 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 08:17 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 06:22 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/25 03:32 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:38 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:14 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/24 10:04 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/24 09:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/24 08:50 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 07:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/24 05:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/24 05:26 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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