NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNF LIB
Points 72.1 76.2
Total Points   148.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.5 41.6
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 24.0
Points From Free Throws 10.7 10.5
Shooting UNF LIB
Field Goals Made 25.9 28.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.7 59.2
Field Goal % 46.5% 48.6%
2 Pointers Made 16.3 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 28.3 37.1
2 Point Shooting % 57.5% 56.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 8.0
3 Pointers Attempted 27.4 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 36.1%
Free Throws Made 10.7 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 16.3
Free Throw % 77.2% 64.5%
Ball Control UNF LIB
Rebounds 31.2 33.8
Rebounds - Defensive 25.6 25.9
Rebounds - Offensive 5.6 7.9
Turnovers 10.2 8.1
Blocked Shots 3.9 1.8
Steals 4.1 4.9
Fouls 14.5 12.8

Playing Style Advantage: Liberty

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNF LIB
Total Possessions 68.8
Effective Scoring Chances 64.2 68.5
% of Possessions with UNF LIB
2 Point Attempt 37.6% 47.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 28.3%
Player Fouled 18.6% 21.0%
Turnover 14.9% 11.8%
Opponent Steal 7.1% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNF LIB
Shot Blocked 3.1% 7.0%
Offensive Rebound 17.8% 23.5%