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Georgia St at Duke
Fri Nov 15, 2019
7:00pm ET
Durham, NC
Georgia St at Duke: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 28.5, Total Points: 152
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | GSU | adv | DUKE |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-1 | 21-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-1 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 6-5-1 | 11-7-0 | |
| Away | 7-10-0 | 10-7-1 |
Georgia St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Belmont | +7.0 | L by 2 | +5.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | W Michigan | -5.5 | W by 7 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | N Illinois | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | AR Lit Rock | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Charlotte | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kennesaw St | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Middle Georgia St. | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | Mercer | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | BYU | +24.0 | L by 32 | -8.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Toccoa Falls | -- | W by 77 | -- |
| 12/30 | Home | Arkansas St | -1.0 | W by 1 | 0.0 |
| 01/04 | Away | S Mississippi | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Alabama | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Old Dominion | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Southern | -7.5 | W by 28 | +20.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | App State | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Southern | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Marshall | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Coastal Car | -4.0 | L by 2 | -6.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | App State | +6.5 | L by 10 | -3.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Troy | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | W by 9 | +17.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Miami (OH) | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | James Mad | +14.5 | L by 20 | -5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Old Dominion | -1.5 | W by 3 | +1.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.0 | W by 1 | -9.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | Texas St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | James Mad | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Marshall | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Marshall | +1.0 | L by 12 | -11.0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Dartmouth | -28.0 | W by 38 | +10.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | Arizona | -5.0 | L by 5 | -10.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 9 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Bucknell | -34.5 | W by 30 | -4.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | La Salle | -25.5 | W by 29 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | S Indiana | -36.5 | W by 18 | -18.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Arkansas | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | GA Tech | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Charlotte | -16.5 | W by 24 | +7.5 |
| 12/12 | Home | Hofstra | -15.5 | W by 21 | +5.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Baylor | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Queens | -28.0 | W by 37 | +9.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | Syracuse | -14.5 | W by 20 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 8 | -6.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Pittsburgh | -5.0 | W by 22 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | GA Tech | -17.5 | W by 5 | -12.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Pittsburgh | -12.5 | L by 4 | -16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Clemson | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 01/29 | Away | VA Tech | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Carolina | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Notre Dame | -17.0 | W by 18 | +1.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Boston Col | -12.5 | W by 15 | +2.5 |
| 02/12 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Florida St | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | Miami | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Wake Forest | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Louisville | -20.5 | W by 25 | +4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Virginia | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 03/04 | Away | NC State | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | N Carolina | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | NC State | -11.0 | L by 5 | -16.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Vermont | -12.5 | W by 17 | +4.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | James Mad | -6.0 | W by 38 | +32.0 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Houston | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | NC State | -7.0 | L by 12 | -19.0 |
| DUKE -28.5 | Open | -27.0 | High | -28.5 |
| Last | -28.0 | Low | -27.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 112 games where the closing line favored the home team by 27.5 to 29.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 112 times (100.0%).
- The team like Georgia St. won the game 0 times (0.0%).
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 57-52-3 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1513 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Duke did better against the spread, going 745-734-34 (50.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -28.5 | -28.5 | -28.5 |
| Open | -28.0 | -28.0 | -28.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/15 06:41 PM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 06:14 PM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 11/15 05:31 PM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 04:35 PM | -- | -- | -28.5 |
| 11/15 03:35 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 03:16 PM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 11/15 03:02 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 12:42 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 12:14 PM | -- | -28.0 | -- |
| 11/15 12:05 PM | -- | -- | -28.0 |
| 11/15 11:58 AM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -28.5 |
| 11/15 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -29.5 |
| 11/15 08:30 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -29.0 |
| 11/14 11:14 PM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 11/14 10:45 PM | -- | -- | -28.5 |
| 11/14 10:44 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/14 06:04 PM | -- | -28.0 | -- |
| 11/14 05:36 PM | -28.0 | -- | -- |
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