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Denver at Texas St
Sun Dec 5, 2021
2:00pm ET
San Marcos, TX
Denver at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Texas State by 14, Total Points: 129.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DEN | adv | TXST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-14-2 | 18-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 12-9-1 | |
| Streak | W3 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-2-1 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 7-4-0 | |
| Away | 9-9-2 | 11-10-1 |
Denver Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | UCSD | +7.0 | L by 8 | -1.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Cal Poly | -10.0 | W by 21 | +11.0 |
| 11/15 | Neutral | Nicholls | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | SIU Edward | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | S Alabama | +4.5 | L by 7 | -2.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | Colorado Christian | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 11/26 | Away | TX A&M-Com | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Idaho | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Colorado College | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 12/06 | Away | Colorado St | +20.5 | L by 10 | +10.5 |
| 12/13 | Away | BYU | +26.5 | L by 16 | +10.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 6 | -- |
| 12/20 | Home | Northern New Mexico | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 12/29 | Away | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 15 | +14.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Oral Roberts | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Idaho St | -6.5 | W by 13 | +6.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | N Colorado | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | S Dakota St | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | N Dakota St | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | North Dakota | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | South Dakota | -8.5 | W by 1 | -7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Neb Omaha | -5.5 | L by 19 | -24.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Kansas City | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Oral Roberts | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | South Dakota | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | St. Thomas | +2.5 | W by 17 | +19.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | North Dakota | -4.5 | L by 14 | -18.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | S Dakota St | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Kansas City | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | St. Thomas | +8.5 | L by 25 | -16.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Kansas City | +5.5 | W by 1 | +6.5 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | Neb Omaha | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | S Dakota St | +10.0 | L by 8 | +2.0 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 10 | +8.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 39 | -23.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UTSA | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | McNeese St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | S Utah | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | TX-Arlington | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | Texas | +19.5 | L by 19 | +0.5 |
| 12/11 | Home | Jarvis Christian | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/15 | Away | Sam Hous St | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Le Tourneau | -- | W by 42 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Houston | +27.5 | L by 35 | -7.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 17 | -5.0 |
| 01/04 | Home | Coastal Car | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Marshall | +2.0 | L by 4 | -2.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Arkansas St | +6.0 | L by 3 | +3.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | UL Monroe | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisiana | -1.0 | L by 18 | -19.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Arkansas St | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Troy | +9.0 | L by 13 | -4.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Louisiana | +8.5 | L by 20 | -11.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | S Alabama | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Mississippi | -2.0 | W by 5 | +3.0 |
| 02/07 | Home | App State | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Ball St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/15 | Away | S Alabama | +2.5 | L by 17 | -14.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Mississippi | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | GA Southern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Georgia St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | UL Monroe | -5.5 | W by 18 | +12.5 |
| 03/01 | Home | Troy | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Neutral | Old Dominion | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | S Mississippi | +2.5 | W by 16 | +18.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Troy | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | James Mad | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| TXST -14.0 | Open | -13.5 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -13.5 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1213 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13 to 15 points. In these games:
- The team like Texas State won the game 1104 times (91.0%).
- The team like Denver won the game 109 times (9.0%).
- The team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 604-577-32 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4321 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 2125-2109-87 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.0 |
| Open | -14.0 | -14.0 | -14.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/05 01:52 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 01:37 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 12:01 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 09:46 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 05:02 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 12/05 04:04 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/04 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -14.0 |
| 12/04 08:37 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
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