NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DEN TXST
Points 73.4 77.8
Total Points   151.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.1 47.9
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 13.3
Points From Free Throws 16.5 16.5
Shooting DEN TXST
Field Goals Made 24.6 28.4
Field Goals Attempted 56.6 59.0
Field Goal % 43.5% 48.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.1 24.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 46.6
2 Point Shooting % 51.4% 51.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 4.4
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 12.4
3 Point Shooting % 32.3% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 16.5 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 23.4 23.4
Free Throw % 70.7% 70.3%
Ball Control DEN TXST
Rebounds 32.6 37.5
Rebounds - Defensive 24.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 8.4 10.2
Turnovers 11.1 10.2
Blocked Shots 3.8 4.1
Steals 6.0 5.8
Fouls 16.1 17.0

Playing Style Advantage: Denver

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DEN TXST
Total Possessions 73.1
Effective Scoring Chances 70.4 73.1
% of Possessions with DEN TXST
2 Point Attempt 39.9% 54.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 14.6%
Player Fouled 23.2% 22.1%
Turnover 15.2% 14.0%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken DEN TXST
Shot Blocked 7.0% 6.9%
Offensive Rebound 23.6% 29.8%