NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring HAMP SCUS
Points 67.8 71.6
Total Points   139.4
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 36.6
Points From 3-Pointers 17.3 24.4
Points From Free Throws 16.6 10.5
Shooting HAMP SCUS
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.4
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 60.6
Field Goal % 40.7% 43.6%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 18.3
2 Pointers Attempted 35.9 35.8
2 Point Shooting % 47.3% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 5.8 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 20.0 24.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.8% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 16.6 10.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.8 16.5
Free Throw % 72.7% 64.0%
Ball Control HAMP SCUS
Rebounds 39.3 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 25.6
Rebounds - Offensive 10.9 8.9
Turnovers 11.8 9.5
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.5
Steals 4.9 6.9
Fouls 13.9 16.0

Playing Style Advantage: Hampton

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats HAMP SCUS
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 70.1 70.4
% of Possessions with HAMP SCUS
2 Point Attempt 43.1% 44.1%
3 Point Attempt 24.0% 30.5%
Player Fouled 22.6% 19.6%
Turnover 16.6% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken HAMP SCUS
Shot Blocked 5.9% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 29.8% 23.7%