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Murray St at Valparaiso
Sun Dec 4, 2022
2:00pm ET
Valparaiso, IN
Murray St at Valparaiso: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Murray St. by 3, Total Points: 140
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MURR | adv | VALP |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-18-0 | 18-13-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-11-0 | 12-9-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 4-11-0 | 6-10-0 | |
| Away | 9-7-0 | 12-3-0 |
Murray St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Midway | -- | W by 33 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | TN Tech | -12.5 | W by 6 | -6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | W Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | NC-Wilmgton | +5.5 | L by 2 | +3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | App State | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bradley | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Illinois St | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Austin Peay | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 12/13 | Away | Miss State | +16.0 | L by 4 | +12.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | SE Louisiana | -10.5 | L by 6 | -16.5 |
| 12/18 | Away | AR Lit Rock | -1.5 | L by 14 | -15.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | S Methodist | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Middle Tenn | -4.5 | W by 21 | +16.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | IL-Chicago | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Evansville | +1.0 | W by 22 | +23.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Missouri St | +5.0 | W by 24 | +29.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | N Iowa | -1.5 | L by 10 | -11.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | IL-Chicago | +1.0 | W by 15 | +16.0 |
| 01/21 | Home | Indiana St | +5.5 | L by 9 | -3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Bradley | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | S Illinois | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Illinois St | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | N Iowa | +6.0 | W by 28 | +34.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Belmont | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Evansville | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Missouri St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Drake | +9.5 | L by 23 | -13.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | S Illinois | +4.5 | L by 4 | +0.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Valparaiso | -13.0 | W by 12 | -1.0 |
| 02/28 | Home | Belmont | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 03/03 | Away | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 12 | +2.0 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Missouri St | -2.5 | L by 25 | -27.5 |
Valparaiso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Trinity Christian | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/10 | Home | IUPUI | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Illinois | +29.5 | L by 23 | +6.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | W Illinois | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Southern | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Drake | +14.0 | L by 18 | -4.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Belmont | +15.5 | L by 9 | +6.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Central Mich | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | VA Tech | +21.5 | L by 21 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Chicago St | -3.0 | L by 1 | -4.0 |
| 12/19 | Home | Samford | +8.5 | L by 18 | -9.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | Elon | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | Bradley | +10.5 | L by 25 | -14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | IL-Chicago | +12.5 | L by 6 | +6.5 |
| 01/10 | Home | S Illinois | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Away | Illinois St | +10.0 | W by 9 | +19.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Evansville | +7.0 | L by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | IL-Chicago | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | S Illinois | +13.5 | L by 6 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Missouri St | +4.0 | L by 11 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | Drake | +19.5 | L by 11 | +8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Evansville | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Indiana St | +20.5 | L by 40 | -19.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | N Iowa | +7.5 | L by 19 | -11.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Missouri St | +13.0 | L by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Indiana St | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Murray St | +13.0 | L by 12 | +1.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | N Iowa | +16.0 | L by 14 | +2.0 |
| 03/03 | Home | Illinois St | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Belmont | +14.0 | L by 25 | -11.0 |
| MURR -3.0 | Open | -6.5 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2180 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Murray St. won the game 1261 times (57.8%).
- The team like Valparaiso won the game 919 times (42.2%).
- The team like Valparaiso did better against the spread, going 1087-1038-55 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 167 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Murray St. did better against the spread, going 83-82-2 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/04 10:55 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 08:10 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 07:10 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/03 06:07 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
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