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Louisiana vs. Baylor
Sat Nov 28, 2020
8:00pm ET
Las Vegas, NV
(Neutral Site)
Louisiana vs. Baylor: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 21, Total Points: 149
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ULL | adv | BAY |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-15-0 | 20-12-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-11-0 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-5-0 | 10-5-1 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 10-7-1 |
Louisiana Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Youngs St | -4.0 | W by 10 | +6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Toledo | +7.5 | L by 9 | -1.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | Louisiana College | -- | W by 51 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wright St | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Buffalo | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +5.5 | W by 10 | +15.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Loyola (LA) | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 11/30 | Away | Samford | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | LA Tech | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | E Kentucky | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 12/17 | Away | McNeese St | +6.5 | L by 2 | +4.5 |
| 12/22 | Away | Rice | +4.5 | W by 17 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Marshall | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Coastal Car | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Troy | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Arkansas St | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Texas St | +1.0 | W by 18 | +19.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | S Alabama | -1.0 | W by 9 | +8.0 |
| 01/26 | Home | Arkansas St | -4.5 | W by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/28 | Home | Texas St | -8.5 | W by 20 | +11.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | UL Monroe | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | S Alabama | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia St | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 02/11 | Home | Bowling Grn | -7.5 | W by 26 | +18.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | Old Dominion | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | App State | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 02/22 | Away | UL Monroe | -6.5 | L by 7 | -13.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | S Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 11 | -13.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Troy | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 03/01 | Home | S Mississippi | -8.5 | W by 16 | +7.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Coastal Car | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Arkansas St | +3.0 | L by 27 | -24.0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Neutral | Auburn | +2.0 | W by 6 | +8.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | John Brown | -- | W by 26 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | Gard-Webb | -22.5 | W by 15 | -7.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Kansas City | -24.5 | W by 38 | +13.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Oregon St | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Florida | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Nicholls | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | NW State | -34.0 | W by 51 | +17.0 |
| 12/05 | Home | Seton Hall | -11.0 | W by 18 | +7.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Michigan St | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Duke | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Miss Val St | -40.5 | W by 59 | +18.5 |
| 01/02 | Home | Cornell | -16.0 | W by 19 | +3.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Oklahoma St | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | BYU | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Cincinnati | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 01/16 | Away | Kansas St | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Texas | +2.5 | L by 2 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | TX Christian | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 01/31 | Away | UCF | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Iowa St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 02/06 | Home | Texas Tech | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Kansas | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Oklahoma | -7.0 | W by 17 | +10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | W Virginia | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | BYU | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Houston | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 02/26 | Away | TX Christian | +2.5 | W by 8 | +10.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Kansas | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/04 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | W by 8 | +1.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Texas Tech | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Cincinnati | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Iowa St | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Colgate | -14.5 | W by 25 | +10.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Clemson | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| BAY -21.0 | Open | -20.0 | High | -21.0 |
| Last | -20.0 | Low | -20.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 402 games where the closing line favored the home team by 19.5 to 21.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 393 times (97.8%).
- The team like UL Lafayette won the game 9 times (2.2%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 209-188-5 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 17 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 10-7 (58.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -21.0 | -21.0 |
| Open | -20.0 | -20.0 | -20.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/28 07:59 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 07:29 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 06:42 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 05:14 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 04:35 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 03:20 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:05 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 01:23 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:23 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:35 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:05 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/28 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -21.0 |
| 11/28 09:38 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -19.5 |
| 11/28 06:55 AM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 11/28 03:17 AM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 02:05 AM | -- | -- | -20.5 |
| 11/27 09:55 PM | -- | -- | -20.0 |
| 11/27 08:44 PM | -- | -20.0 | -- |
| 11/27 08:32 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
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