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Colorado St vs. Virginia
Tue Mar 19, 2024
9:10pm ET
Dayton, OH
(Neutral Site)
Colorado St vs. Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Colorado St. by 2.5, Total Points: 121
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | CSU | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 17-17-0 | 17-16-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-13-0 | 11-10-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 10-6-1 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 7-10-0 |
Colorado St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | LA Tech | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Wright St | -10.0 | W by 28 | +18.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | N Colorado | -11.5 | W by 19 | +7.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Kansas City | -17.0 | W by 23 | +6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 12 | +6.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Creighton | +9.0 | W by 21 | +30.0 |
| 11/29 | Home | Colorado | -3.5 | W by 5 | +1.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Washington | -4.0 | W by 5 | +1.0 |
| 12/06 | Home | Denver | -20.5 | W by 10 | -10.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | St Marys | -4.0 | L by 3 | -7.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | CSU Pueblo | -- | W by 32 | -- |
| 12/22 | Away | Loyola Mymt | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Adams St. | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 01/02 | Home | New Mexico | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Utah St | +2.5 | L by 5 | -2.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Boise St | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Air Force | -15.5 | W by 9 | -6.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | UNLV | -7.5 | W by 3 | -4.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Nevada | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Wyoming | -8.0 | L by 3 | -11.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | San Diego St | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Fresno St | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Boise St | -5.5 | W by 13 | +7.5 |
| 02/09 | Home | San Jose St | -15.0 | W by 19 | +4.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | San Diego St | +6.0 | L by 16 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Utah St | -6.0 | W by 20 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Away | New Mexico | +8.0 | L by 2 | +6.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | UNLV | +1.0 | L by 6 | -5.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | Nevada | -6.5 | L by 3 | -9.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wyoming | -15.5 | W by 8 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Air Force | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | San Jose St | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Nevada | +3.5 | W by 7 | +10.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.5 | L by 13 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 25 | +22.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Texas | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Tarleton St | -17.0 | W by 30 | +13.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | Florida | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | NC A&T | -30.5 | W by 29 | -1.5 |
| 11/16 | Home | TX Southern | -22.5 | W by 29 | +6.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -3.5 | L by 24 | -27.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | W Virginia | -9.5 | W by 2 | -7.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Syracuse | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | NC Central | -24.5 | W by 30 | +5.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Northeastrn | -16.0 | W by 2 | -14.0 |
| 12/19 | Away | Memphis | +3.5 | L by 23 | -19.5 |
| 12/27 | Home | Morgan St | -26.5 | W by 35 | +8.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Notre Dame | -9.5 | L by 22 | -31.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Louisville | -15.5 | W by 24 | +8.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | NC State | +1.0 | L by 16 | -15.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 19 | -13.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | VA Tech | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/24 | Home | NC State | -6.0 | W by 6 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Louisville | -9.0 | W by 17 | +8.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Notre Dame | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Clemson | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/05 | Home | Miami | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Florida St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Pittsburgh | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/19 | Away | VA Tech | +3.5 | L by 34 | -30.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | N Carolina | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Duke | +10.0 | L by 25 | -15.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 15 | +5.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Boston Col | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | NC State | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Colorado St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| CSU -2.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1193 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Colorado St. won the game 692 times (58.0%).
- The team like Virginia won the game 501 times (42.0%).
- The team like Colorado St. did better against the spread, going 615-560-18 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2114 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Colorado St. did better against the spread, going 1053-1022-39 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/19 09:17 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 09:02 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 07:23 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 06:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 06:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 05:17 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 04:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 03:56 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 03:10 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 01:34 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 01:20 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 12:26 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 11:11 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 10:50 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 10:01 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 09:13 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 08:10 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 04:04 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 01:05 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 09:28 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 09:23 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/18 12:07 AM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 08:22 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 08:07 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/17 07:43 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
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