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Arkansas vs. Connecticut
Thu Mar 23, 2023
7:15pm ET
Las Vegas, NV
(Neutral Site)
Arkansas vs. Connecticut: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Connecticut by 3.5, Total Points: 139.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ARK | adv | CONN |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 12-21-0 | 28-12-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-12-0 | 15-8-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 9-1-0 | |
| Home | 7-10-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 5-11-0 | 19-5-0 |
Arkansas Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Alcorn St | -28.5 | W by 34 | +5.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Gard-Webb | -24.0 | W by 18 | -6.0 |
| 11/13 | Home | Old Dominion | -20.0 | W by 9 | -11.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | -14.5 | L by 6 | -20.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Stanford | -6.5 | W by 3 | -3.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Memphis | -1.0 | L by 5 | -6.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | N Carolina | +3.5 | L by 15 | -11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Furman | -11.5 | W by 14 | +2.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Oklahoma | +3.5 | L by 9 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Lipscomb | -16.0 | W by 3 | -13.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Abl Christian | -14.5 | W by 10 | -4.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | NC-Wilmgton | -10.5 | W by 16 | +5.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Auburn | +2.5 | L by 32 | -29.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Georgia | +2.0 | L by 10 | -8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Florida | +7.5 | L by 22 | -14.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Mississippi | +8.5 | L by 26 | -17.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Missouri | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | LSU | +5.0 | L by 21 | -16.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Georgia | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Tennessee | +8.5 | L by 29 | -20.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Miss State | +11.0 | L by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 7 | +18.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Missouri | -5.5 | W by 15 | +9.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Vanderbilt | -10.5 | L by 3 | -13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 9 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | LSU | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Alabama | +15.5 | L by 4 | +11.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Vanderbilt | -6.0 | W by 5 | -1.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | S Carolina | +5.5 | L by 14 | -8.5 |
Connecticut Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Arizona | -26.5 | W by 43 | +16.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Stonehill | -38.0 | W by 40 | +2.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | Miss Val St | -45.5 | W by 34 | -11.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Indiana | -11.0 | W by 20 | +9.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Texas | -6.5 | W by 10 | +3.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Manhattan | -35.0 | W by 30 | -5.0 |
| 11/27 | Home | N Hampshire | -31.5 | W by 20 | -11.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | N Carolina | -5.5 | W by 11 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ark Pine Bl | -37.0 | W by 38 | +1.0 |
| 12/15 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Seton Hall | -8.0 | L by 15 | -23.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | St Johns | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | DePaul | -23.0 | W by 29 | +6.0 |
| 01/05 | Away | Butler | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Xavier | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Georgetown | -21.0 | W by 13 | -8.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Creighton | -6.0 | W by 14 | +8.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Villanova | -4.0 | W by 1 | -3.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Xavier | -11.5 | W by 43 | +31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | Providence | -13.0 | W by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | St Johns | -3.5 | W by 13 | +9.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Butler | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Georgetown | -16.0 | W by 25 | +9.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | DePaul | -24.5 | W by 36 | +11.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Marquette | -7.0 | W by 28 | +21.0 |
| 02/20 | Away | Creighton | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Villanova | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Seton Hall | -15.5 | W by 30 | +14.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Marquette | -5.0 | W by 7 | +2.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Providence | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Xavier | -15.0 | W by 27 | +12.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | St Johns | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Marquette | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Stetson | -27.5 | W by 39 | +11.5 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Northwestern | -13.5 | W by 17 | +3.5 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | San Diego St | -12.0 | W by 30 | +18.0 |
| 03/30 | Neutral | Illinois | -8.0 | W by 25 | +17.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | Alabama | -10.0 | W by 14 | +4.0 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Purdue | -7.0 | W by 15 | +8.0 |
| CONN -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1088 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Connecticut won the game 700 times (64.3%).
- The team like Arkansas won the game 388 times (35.7%).
- The team like Connecticut did better against the spread, going 579-493-16 (54.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 5451 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Arkansas did better against the spread, going 2704-2634-113 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 03/23 07:13 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 04:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 02:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 02:37 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 02:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/23 02:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 01:49 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 01:19 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 12:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 11:34 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/23 11:05 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 11:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/23 10:14 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/23 10:10 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 09:49 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 09:04 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/23 04:13 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/23 04:03 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/23 01:58 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 08:10 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 06:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/22 05:54 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/22 05:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 01:24 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/22 01:04 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 03/22 12:35 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/22 11:43 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 11:28 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 10:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 08:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/22 04:40 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 08:23 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/21 06:16 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 06:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/21 05:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/21 07:19 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 04:31 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 12:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 11:43 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 10:10 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 03:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 03/20 03:28 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 03/20 12:31 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 10:01 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 09:07 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 03/19 08:44 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
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