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Illinois St at N Kentucky
Sun Dec 15, 2019
2:00pm ET
Highland Heights, KY
Illinois St at N Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Northern Kentucky by 5.5, Total Points: 133.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | ILST | adv | NKU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 14-17-0 | 17-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-11-0 | 13-9-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 7-9-0 | 10-8-0 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
N Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Middle Tenn | +4.5 | L by 17 | -12.5 |
| 11/09 | Away | Washington | +14.5 | L by 8 | +6.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | DePauw | -- | W by 17 | -- |
| 11/19 | Away | Cincinnati | +12.5 | L by 24 | -11.5 |
| 11/22 | Home | TX A&M-CC | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | LIU | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Rob Morris | -8.0 | W by 18 | +10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | IUPUI | -10.0 | W by 16 | +6.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Illinois St | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Akron | +3.0 | L by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/14 | Home | Cumberland (KY) | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 12/17 | Away | E Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 10 | +13.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | St Marys | +15.5 | L by 36 | -20.5 |
| 12/29 | Away | IPFW | +4.5 | L by 13 | -8.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Youngs St | -1.0 | W by 3 | +2.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | Cleveland St | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Oakland | +6.0 | L by 5 | +1.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Detroit | -9.5 | W by 5 | -4.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -5.5 | W by 22 | +16.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | IPFW | -3.5 | L by 5 | -8.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Youngs St | +6.5 | L by 30 | -23.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Wright St | +3.0 | L by 7 | -4.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Detroit | -13.5 | W by 12 | -1.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +4.5 | W by 1 | +5.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +2.5 | L by 1 | +1.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Cleveland St | -2.5 | W by 2 | -0.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | IUPUI | -17.5 | W by 16 | -1.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Rob Morris | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Wright St | +7.0 | L by 6 | +1.0 |
| 03/07 | Away | Wright St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 03/11 | Neutral | WI-Milwkee | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| NKU -5.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.0 |
| Last | -6.0 | Low | -5.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2765 games where the closing line favored the home team by 4.5 to 6.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Northern Kentucky won the game 1931 times (69.8%).
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 834 times (30.2%).
- The team like Northern Kentucky did better against the spread, going 1384-1334-47 (50.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3951 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1943-1931-77 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -5.5 | -7.0 | -5.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 12/15 01:58 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 01:39 PM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -5.5 |
| 12/15 01:09 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/15 10:47 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 09:33 AM | -5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 09:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 12/15 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/15 07:53 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 03:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 12/15 12:55 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 12/14 08:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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