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SE Missouri at IPFW
Sat Dec 9, 2023
7:00pm ET
Fort Wayne, IN
SE Missouri at IPFW: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue Fort Wayne by 15, Total Points: 151.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | SEMO | adv | PFW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-18-0 | 19-14-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-0 | 11-11-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-7-0 | 7-7-0 | |
| Away | 5-11-0 | 12-7-1 |
SE Missouri Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Grd Canyon | +17.0 | L by 21 | -4.0 |
| 11/10 | Away | Butler | +20.0 | L by 35 | -15.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Evansville | -2.5 | L by 19 | -21.5 |
| 11/20 | Home | Central Ark | -4.5 | W by 2 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Evansville | +5.5 | L by 19 | -13.5 |
| 11/26 | Away | Chattanooga | +13.0 | L by 16 | -3.0 |
| 11/30 | Away | Kansas City | +8.0 | L by 30 | -22.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Missouri Baptist | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/06 | Home | Harris-Stowe State | -- | W by 50 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | IPFW | +15.0 | L by 9 | +6.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | Lindsey Wilson | -- | W by 28 | -- |
| 12/21 | Away | Illinois St | +14.0 | L by 21 | -7.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | S Indiana | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Morehead St | +8.5 | L by 19 | -10.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | W Illinois | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Bethel (TN) | -- | W by 10 | -- |
| 01/11 | Home | Lindenwood | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | TN Tech | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | SIU Edward | +7.0 | W by 5 | +12.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | TN Martin | +10.5 | L by 26 | -15.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | AR Lit Rock | +12.0 | L by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Lindenwood | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | W Illinois | +4.0 | L by 21 | -17.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | TN Tech | (Pick) | W by 19 | +19.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | TN State | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | E Illinois | +5.5 | L by 18 | -12.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | SIU Edward | +11.5 | L by 4 | +7.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | AR Lit Rock | +7.0 | L by 22 | -15.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | TN Martin | +7.5 | L by 10 | -2.5 |
| 02/29 | Away | Morehead St | +18.0 | L by 22 | -4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | S Indiana | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
IPFW Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Away | DePaul | +11.5 | W by 8 | +19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Andrews University | -- | W by 96 | -- |
| 11/12 | Home | TX A&M-Com | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | N Arizona | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | South Dakota | -3.5 | W by 12 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Away | San Francisco | +13.5 | L by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Wittenberg | -- | W by 31 | -- |
| 11/29 | Home | WI-Grn Bay | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Oakland | +5.0 | W by 21 | +26.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | S Indiana | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | SE Missouri | -15.0 | W by 9 | -6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Beth-Cook | -12.5 | W by 23 | +10.5 |
| 12/20 | Away | Pittsburgh | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Kentucky | -4.5 | W by 13 | +8.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Detroit | -13.0 | W by 35 | +22.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | Wright St | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Youngs St | +3.5 | L by 8 | -4.5 |
| 01/12 | Away | Rob Morris | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | IUPUI | -16.5 | L by 6 | -22.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Cleveland St | +4.0 | L by 7 | -3.0 |
| 01/25 | Away | N Kentucky | +3.5 | W by 5 | +8.5 |
| 02/01 | Home | WI-Milwkee | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/04 | Home | Youngs St | +4.5 | W by 4 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Cleveland St | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | IUPUI | -12.0 | W by 27 | +15.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Oakland | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Detroit | -9.0 | W by 14 | +5.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | WI-Grn Bay | +2.0 | W by 26 | +28.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | WI-Milwkee | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Wright St | +6.0 | W by 2 | +8.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Rob Morris | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Rob Morris | -10.5 | W by 15 | +4.5 |
| 03/07 | Away | Oakland | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 03/20 | Away | Bowling Grn | -1.5 | W by 2 | +0.5 |
| 03/25 | Away | Tarleton St | +6.0 | W by 1 | +7.0 |
| 03/27 | Away | Norfolk St | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| PFW -15.0 | Open | -16.5 | High | -16.5 |
| Last | -15.5 | Low | -15.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1233 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14 to 16 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue Fort Wayne won the game 1129 times (91.6%).
- The team like SE Missouri St. won the game 104 times (8.4%).
- The team like SE Missouri St. did better against the spread, going 645-559-29 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1900 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like SE Missouri St. did better against the spread, going 955-908-37 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.0 | -15.5 | -- |
| Open | -16.5 | -16.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/09 06:56 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:26 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 10:38 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:29 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 09:26 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:32 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:23 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:07 AM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/09 03:31 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:57 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/08 11:44 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:17 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:22 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:17 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:20 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
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