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Mass Lowell vs. Illinois St
Sat Nov 28, 2020
1:00pm ET
Columbus, OH
(Neutral Site)
Mass Lowell vs. Illinois St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois St. by 1, Total Points: 150.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UMASS | adv | ILST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-1 | 14-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-10-1 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-6-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-9-1 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 11-6-0 | 7-9-0 |
Mass Lowell Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Rivier | -- | W by 45 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Dartmouth | -5.5 | W by 33 | +27.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | GA Tech | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
| 11/16 | Away | Arizona St | +7.5 | L by 2 | +5.5 |
| 11/20 | Away | St Peters | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Stonehill | -15.5 | W by 6 | -9.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Merrimack | -5.5 | L by 6 | -11.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Fisher College | -- | W by 48 | -- |
| 12/09 | Away | U Mass | +6.0 | L by 14 | -8.0 |
| 12/12 | Home | LIU | -17.0 | W by 13 | -4.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Central Conn | -11.0 | L by 3 | -14.0 |
| 12/22 | Away | Boston U | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 12/31 | Home | Emerson | -- | W by 68 | -- |
| 01/06 | Away | N Hampshire | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | NJIT | -14.0 | W by 8 | -6.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Maryland BC | -14.5 | W by 4 | -10.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Albany | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Binghamton | -7.5 | W by 20 | +12.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Vermont | -2.0 | L by 7 | -9.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Maine | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | N Hampshire | -9.0 | L by 16 | -25.0 |
| 02/08 | Away | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | NJIT | -9.0 | L by 7 | -16.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Bryant | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Binghamton | -8.5 | W by 7 | -1.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Albany | -12.0 | W by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Bryant | -6.5 | W by 22 | +15.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vermont | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Maine | -4.5 | L by 6 | -10.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/12 | Home | Bryant | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/16 | Away | Vermont | +8.5 | L by 5 | +3.5 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| UMASS +1.0 | Open | +2.5 | High | -1.5 |
| Last | -1.5 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 975 games where the closing line favored the home team by -1 to 1 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 480 times (49.2%).
- The team like Massachusetts Lowell won the game 495 times (50.8%).
- The team like Massachusetts Lowell did better against the spread, going 483-467-25 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 9 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 7-2 (77.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.8 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/28 12:53 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:32 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 12:02 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 11:35 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:35 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 10:17 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 09:32 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/28 08:44 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
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