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Toledo at W Michigan
Sat Feb 22, 2020
2:00pm ET
Kalamazoo, MI
Toledo at W Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 3, Total Points: 141.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | WMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 17-14-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 12-7-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 7-6-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 10-8-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | N Dakota St | +3.5 | L by 4 | -0.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Georgia St | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Northwestern | +23.5 | L by 4 | +19.5 |
| 11/19 | Away | Ohio St | +21.5 | L by 17 | +4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | SE Louisiana | +2.0 | W by 1 | +3.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | Mercer | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | St. Thomas | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | Notre Dame | +9.5 | L by 21 | -11.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Youngs St | +5.0 | L by 4 | +1.0 |
| 12/16 | Away | IL-Chicago | +11.5 | L by 21 | -9.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | Cleveland St | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Aquinas | -- | W by 56 | -- |
| 01/02 | Away | Miami (OH) | +5.0 | W by 9 | +14.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Buffalo | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | N Illinois | -3.0 | W by 5 | +2.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ohio | +4.0 | W by 2 | +6.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Akron | +14.0 | L by 11 | +3.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Bowling Grn | +9.0 | L by 5 | +4.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | E Michigan | -4.5 | W by 17 | +12.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | L by 7 | -10.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Toledo | +11.5 | L by 25 | -13.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Ball St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Kent St | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Mississippi | +7.5 | L by 32 | -24.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Central Mich | +5.5 | L by 27 | -21.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Miami (OH) | +3.5 | W by 19 | +22.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Buffalo | -6.0 | W by 19 | +13.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | E Michigan | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Ball St | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Bowling Grn | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Akron | +9.0 | W by 6 | +15.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 27 | -18.0 |
| TOL -3.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1936 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Toledo won the game 1166 times (60.2%).
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 770 times (39.8%).
- The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 957-942-37 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3419 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 1723-1633-63 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -2.5 | -3.0 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 02/22 01:58 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 01:36 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 01:05 PM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 02/22 01:00 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 11:15 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 09:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 02/22 09:07 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 08:49 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/22 07:55 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/22 07:09 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 04:06 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/22 02:25 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/22 01:01 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/21 10:15 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 02/21 08:49 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 02/21 07:24 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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