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Toledo at Xavier
Fri Nov 27, 2020
12:00pm ET
Cincinnati, OH
Toledo at Xavier: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Xavier by 9, Total Points: 135
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | TOL | adv | XAV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-17-0 | 16-18-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 7-8-0 | 9-9-0 | |
| Away | 8-9-0 | 7-9-0 |
Toledo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Detroit | -15.5 | W by 34 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Louisiana | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Wright St | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | New Mexico | +2.0 | L by 8 | -6.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | UC Irvine | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Indiana St | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Geo Mason | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Oakland | +1.0 | W by 1 | +2.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | N Iowa | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Marshall | -8.0 | W by 1 | -7.0 |
| 12/20 | Home | Vermont | -6.5 | L by 26 | -32.5 |
| 12/23 | Away | W Virginia | +4.5 | L by 10 | -5.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Ohio | +2.0 | W by 9 | +11.0 |
| 01/05 | Home | Miami (OH) | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Kent St | +4.0 | W by 14 | +18.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Ball St | -11.0 | W by 5 | -6.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Buffalo | -15.0 | W by 11 | -4.0 |
| 01/19 | Away | Central Mich | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | N Illinois | -5.5 | W by 16 | +10.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bowling Grn | -6.5 | W by 16 | +9.5 |
| 01/30 | Home | W Michigan | -11.5 | W by 25 | +13.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Akron | +3.5 | L by 7 | -3.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | E Michigan | -11.5 | W by 4 | -7.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | App State | +6.5 | L by 5 | +1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Ohio | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/20 | Home | Akron | -2.0 | W by 8 | +6.0 |
| 02/23 | Away | Bowling Grn | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | N Illinois | -15.5 | L by 3 | -18.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Buffalo | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Miami (OH) | -2.0 | W by 34 | +32.0 |
| 03/08 | Home | Kent St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Kent St | -5.0 | L by 8 | -13.0 |
Xavier Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Rob Morris | -16.5 | W by 14 | -2.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Jacksonville | -15.5 | W by 23 | +7.5 |
| 11/13 | Away | Purdue | +17.0 | L by 12 | +5.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Washington | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | St Marys | +6.0 | W by 17 | +23.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Bryant | -16.5 | W by 25 | +8.5 |
| 11/27 | Home | Oakland | -15.0 | L by 2 | -17.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Houston | +8.5 | L by 6 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Delaware | -12.0 | L by 7 | -19.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Cincinnati | -1.0 | W by 5 | +4.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Winthrop | -12.0 | W by 16 | +4.0 |
| 12/20 | Away | St Johns | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 12/23 | Home | Seton Hall | -4.0 | W by 20 | +16.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Villanova | +8.0 | L by 1 | +7.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Connecticut | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Providence | +2.0 | W by 20 | +22.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Butler | -5.5 | W by 14 | +8.5 |
| 01/19 | Home | Georgetown | -12.0 | W by 1 | -11.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Creighton | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/28 | Away | Connecticut | +11.5 | L by 43 | -31.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | St Johns | -2.0 | W by 11 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | DePaul | -13.5 | W by 25 | +11.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Villanova | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Creighton | +1.5 | L by 7 | -5.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Seton Hall | +3.0 | L by 18 | -15.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Providence | -5.0 | L by 4 | -9.0 |
| 02/25 | Away | Marquette | +11.5 | L by 24 | -12.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | DePaul | -19.5 | W by 33 | +13.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Georgetown | -8.0 | W by 5 | -3.0 |
| 03/06 | Away | Butler | +2.5 | L by 6 | -3.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Marquette | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Butler | -2.0 | W by 4 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Connecticut | +15.0 | L by 27 | -12.0 |
| 03/19 | Away | Georgia | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| XAV -9.0 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2099 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Xavier won the game 1705 times (81.2%).
- The team like Toledo won the game 394 times (18.8%).
- The team like Toledo did better against the spread, going 1027-1021-51 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 13 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Xavier did better against the spread, going 7-6 (53.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -8.5 | -9.0 | -9.0 |
| Open | -9.5 | -9.5 | -10.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/27 11:56 AM | -8.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 11:29 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:37 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 10:14 AM | -- | -9.0 | -- |
| 11/27 09:59 AM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/27 09:55 AM | -- | -- | -9.0 |
| 11/27 09:44 AM | -- | -9.5 | -- |
| 11/27 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -10.0 |
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