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Wagner at Penn St
Wed Dec 8, 2021
7:00pm ET
University Park, PA
Wagner at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 7, Total Points: 124
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WAG | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 15-16-0 | 17-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 10-9-0 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-0-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-2-2 | |
| Home | 5-5-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 10-11-0 | 8-7-2 |
Wagner Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Fordham | +10.5 | L by 4 | +6.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | Molloy | -- | W by 35 | -- |
| 11/14 | Away | Rhode Island | +10.0 | L by 16 | -6.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Seton Hall | +20.5 | L by 21 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | NJIT | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Providence | +21.5 | L by 34 | -12.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Stony Brook | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Coppin St | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 12/10 | Home | Boston U | -2.5 | L by 14 | -16.5 |
| 12/17 | Away | Fairfield | +7.5 | L by 12 | -4.5 |
| 12/22 | Home | Gwynedd-Mercy | -- | W by 49 | -- |
| 12/30 | Away | Manhattan | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | LIU | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -4.5 | W by 15 | +10.5 |
| 01/15 | Home | Stonehill | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 01/19 | Away | Merrimack | +6.5 | W by 6 | +12.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +4.5 | L by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/25 | Home | Merrimack | +2.0 | L by 16 | -14.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Central Conn | +7.0 | L by 1 | +6.0 |
| 02/01 | Home | Le Moyne | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Stonehill | -3.5 | L by 10 | -13.5 |
| 02/08 | Away | F Dickinson | +2.5 | W by 4 | +6.5 |
| 02/15 | Away | St Fran (PA) | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Sacred Hrt | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 02/22 | Home | Central Conn | -1.5 | L by 1 | -2.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | LIU | -8.0 | W by 15 | +7.0 |
| 02/29 | Away | Le Moyne | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | F Dickinson | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Central Conn | +6.5 | W by 10 | +16.5 |
| 03/12 | Away | Merrimack | +8.0 | W by 7 | +15.0 |
| 03/19 | Neutral | Howard | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | N Carolina | +25.5 | L by 28 | -2.5 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| PSU -7.0 | Open | -8.5 | High | -9.0 |
| Last | -7.5 | Low | -6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2649 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn St. won the game 1970 times (74.4%).
- The team like Wagner won the game 679 times (25.6%).
- The team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 1312-1269-68 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1638 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wagner did better against the spread, going 855-756-27 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| Open | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/08 06:43 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:40 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:13 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:52 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:29 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:40 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 12:20 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:47 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:04 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:46 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:28 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:04 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:59 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 08:28 AM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
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