NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WAG PSU
Points 57.3 74.4
Total Points   131.6
Points From 2-Pointers 31.1 36.9
Points From 3-Pointers 15.6 22.0
Points From Free Throws 10.6 15.5
Shooting WAG PSU
Field Goals Made 20.7 25.7
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 55.1
Field Goal % 36.5% 46.8%
2 Pointers Made 15.5 18.4
2 Pointers Attempted 37.6 32.1
2 Point Shooting % 41.3% 57.5%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 7.3
3 Pointers Attempted 19.3 23.0
3 Point Shooting % 26.9% 31.8%
Free Throws Made 10.6 15.5
Free Throws Attempted 15.2 20.7
Free Throw % 69.5% 74.9%
Ball Control WAG PSU
Rebounds 33.0 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 23.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.6 8.9
Turnovers 10.9 8.6
Blocked Shots 1.9 3.5
Steals 4.6 5.2
Fouls 15.9 12.5

Playing Style Advantage: Wagner

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WAG PSU
Total Possessions 67.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.3 67.9
% of Possessions with WAG PSU
2 Point Attempt 47.8% 41.5%
3 Point Attempt 24.6% 29.8%
Player Fouled 18.5% 23.5%
Turnover 16.1% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 7.7% 6.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken WAG PSU
Shot Blocked 6.4% 3.4%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 27.5%