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NC-Wilmgton at Illinois St
Tue Nov 9, 2021
8:00pm ET
Normal, IL
NC-Wilmgton at Illinois St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Illinois St. by 4.5, Total Points: 147.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNCW | adv | ILST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-15-0 | 14-17-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 9-10-0 | 10-11-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 4-5-0 | 7-8-0 | |
| Away | 9-10-0 | 7-9-0 |
NC-Wilmgton Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Mount Olive | -- | W by 39 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | NC-Asheville | -2.5 | W by 17 | +14.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | Columbia International | -- | W by 36 | -- |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | App State | -2.5 | L by 30 | -32.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Fla Gulf Cst | -2.5 | W by 16 | +13.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | E Carolina | -2.0 | L by 8 | -10.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Kentucky | +18.0 | W by 7 | +25.0 |
| 12/10 | Home | Montreat | -- | W by 69 | -- |
| 12/16 | Away | GA Southern | -9.0 | W by 5 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Away | Marshall | +1.5 | W by 9 | +10.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Arkansas | +10.5 | L by 16 | -5.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Drexel | +1.5 | L by 15 | -13.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Towson | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/11 | Home | Monmouth | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Delaware | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 01/18 | Away | Elon | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Col Charlestn | -2.5 | W by 9 | +6.5 |
| 01/25 | Away | Northeastrn | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Stony Brook | -4.5 | L by 8 | -12.5 |
| 02/01 | Away | Col Charlestn | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Campbell | -14.0 | W by 3 | -11.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Drexel | -4.0 | W by 19 | +15.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Hampton | -12.5 | W by 30 | +17.5 |
| 02/15 | Home | NC A&T | -22.5 | W by 19 | -3.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Elon | -16.5 | L by 1 | -17.5 |
| 02/22 | Away | Wm & Mary | -11.0 | W by 16 | +5.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | Campbell | -9.0 | L by 5 | -14.0 |
| 02/29 | Home | Hofstra | -5.0 | L by 11 | -16.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Towson | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Towson | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
Illinois St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Lourdes | -- | W by 19 | -- |
| 11/11 | Away | Saint Louis | +8.5 | L by 9 | -0.5 |
| 11/15 | Home | E Illinois | -13.0 | W by 8 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Lg Beach St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | High Point | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Wright St | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 11/30 | Away | IL-Chicago | +5.5 | W by 5 | +10.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Murray St | -1.5 | W by 4 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | N Kentucky | -2.5 | W by 3 | +0.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Norfolk St | -6.0 | L by 6 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Home | N Dakota St | -3.5 | W by 10 | +6.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | SE Missouri | -14.0 | W by 21 | +7.0 |
| 12/29 | Away | Kentucky | +20.0 | L by 26 | -6.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Drake | +12.5 | L by 17 | -4.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | S Illinois | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | Belmont | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 01/14 | Home | Valparaiso | -10.0 | L by 9 | -19.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Drake | +7.5 | L by 21 | -13.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Missouri St | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Belmont | -1.5 | W by 10 | +8.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Evansville | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Murray St | +7.0 | W by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Bradley | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | IL-Chicago | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | S Illinois | +8.0 | L by 3 | +5.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Indiana St | +17.5 | W by 13 | +30.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Evansville | -3.5 | W by 7 | +3.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | N Iowa | +1.5 | W by 8 | +9.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Bradley | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
| 02/28 | Home | Missouri St | -4.5 | W by 1 | -3.5 |
| 03/03 | Away | Valparaiso | -5.5 | L by 3 | -8.5 |
| 03/07 | Neutral | Evansville | -3.5 | L by 6 | -9.5 |
| ILST -5.0 | Open | -6.0 | High | -6.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -4.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2917 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3.5 to 5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Illinois St. won the game 1931 times (66.2%).
- The team like UNC Wilmington won the game 986 times (33.8%).
- The team like Illinois St. did better against the spread, going 1453-1414-50 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1476 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like UNC Wilmington did better against the spread, going 775-678-23 (53.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.5 | -4.5 | -4.5 |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.5 | -6.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/09 06:56 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 05:50 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 04:35 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/09 04:32 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 03:24 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/09 02:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/09 02:08 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 12:24 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/09 12:15 PM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/09 12:14 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:31 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 10:05 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 11/09 09:44 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/09 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -4.5 |
| 11/08 11:14 PM | -- | -5.0 | -- |
| 11/08 09:04 PM | -- | -4.5 | -- |
| 11/08 09:01 PM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 08:55 PM | -- | -- | -5.0 |
| 11/08 08:49 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 07:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 11/08 04:45 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 11/08 02:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 11/08 02:07 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/08 01:59 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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