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Florida St at Purdue
Tue Nov 30, 2021
7:30pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Florida St at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 11.5, Total Points: 142
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FSU | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-16-1 | 21-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 12-10-0 | 9-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 8-8-1 | 7-8-1 | |
| Away | 8-8-0 | 14-8-1 |
Florida St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Home | Kennesaw St | -10.5 | W by 27 | +16.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Central Mich | -20.5 | W by 27 | +6.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Florida | +8.5 | L by 21 | -12.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | UNLV | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Colorado | +5.5 | W by 6 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | L by 2 | -11.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | N Carolina | +12.0 | L by 8 | +4.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | S Florida | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Methodist | -4.5 | L by 11 | -15.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | N Florida | -16.0 | W by 16 | 0.0 |
| 12/22 | Home | Winthrop | -9.0 | W by 6 | -3.0 |
| 12/30 | Home | Lipscomb | -9.0 | L by 3 | -12.0 |
| 01/03 | Home | GA Tech | -4.0 | W by 11 | +7.0 |
| 01/06 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 01/09 | Home | Wake Forest | +3.0 | W by 5 | +8.0 |
| 01/13 | Away | Notre Dame | -1.5 | W by 9 | +7.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | Miami | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | L by 11 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Away | Syracuse | +3.5 | W by 16 | +19.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | N Carolina | +6.5 | L by 7 | -0.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Louisville | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 02/06 | Away | Boston Col | +4.0 | W by 1 | +5.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Virginia | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | VA Tech | +5.5 | L by 8 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Duke | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Boston Col | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Clemson | +10.0 | L by 11 | -1.0 |
| 02/27 | Home | NC State | -3.0 | W by 7 | +4.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 9 | -12.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Pittsburgh | +7.5 | L by 15 | -7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Miami | -4.5 | W by 8 | +3.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | VA Tech | +4.5 | W by 10 | +14.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 25 | -14.0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Samford | -19.5 | W by 53 | +33.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Morehead St | -29.5 | W by 30 | +0.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Xavier | -17.0 | W by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -5.5 | W by 10 | +4.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.5 | W by 4 | +0.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Marquette | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | TX Southern | -32.0 | W by 32 | 0.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Northwestern | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 12/04 | Home | Iowa | -13.5 | W by 19 | +5.5 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Alabama | -5.5 | W by 6 | +0.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Arizona | +2.0 | W by 8 | +10.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Jacksonville | -32.5 | W by 43 | +10.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | E Kentucky | -29.0 | W by 27 | -2.0 |
| 01/02 | Away | Maryland | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/05 | Home | Illinois | -10.5 | W by 5 | -5.5 |
| 01/09 | Away | Nebraska | -7.5 | L by 16 | -23.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Penn St | -18.0 | W by 17 | -1.0 |
| 01/16 | Away | Indiana | -9.5 | W by 21 | +11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Iowa | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Michigan | -18.0 | W by 32 | +14.0 |
| 01/28 | Away | Rutgers | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Northwestern | -14.0 | W by 9 | -5.0 |
| 02/04 | Away | Wisconsin | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | Indiana | -17.0 | W by 20 | +3.0 |
| 02/15 | Home | Minnesota | -16.5 | W by 8 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Away | Ohio St | -8.0 | L by 4 | -12.0 |
| 02/22 | Home | Rutgers | -14.5 | W by 28 | +13.5 |
| 02/25 | Away | Michigan | -13.5 | W by 8 | -5.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Michigan St | -10.0 | W by 6 | -4.0 |
| 03/05 | Away | Illinois | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 03/10 | Home | Wisconsin | -10.0 | W by 8 | -2.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Michigan St | -7.5 | W by 5 | -2.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -6.0 | L by 1 | -7.0 |
| 03/22 | Neutral | Grambling St | -27.0 | W by 28 | +1.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | Utah St | -11.5 | W by 39 | +27.5 |
| 03/29 | Neutral | Gonzaga | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 03/31 | Neutral | Tennessee | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 04/06 | Neutral | NC State | -9.5 | W by 13 | +3.5 |
| 04/08 | Neutral | Connecticut | +7.0 | L by 15 | -8.0 |
| PUR -11.5 | Open | -10.0 | High | -11.5 |
| Last | -11.0 | Low | -10.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1606 games where the closing line favored the home team by 10.5 to 12.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 1404 times (87.4%).
- The team like Florida State won the game 202 times (12.6%).
- The team like Florida State did better against the spread, going 821-766-19 (51.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 1587 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 829-733-25 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -12.0 | -11.5 | -11.5 |
| Open | -11.0 | -11.0 | -11.0 |
| History | |||
| 11/30 07:29 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:05 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:14 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:52 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:52 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 02:35 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:35 PM | -- | -- | -11.5 |
| 11/30 01:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 11/30 01:19 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 01:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/30 12:49 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:44 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/30 12:25 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/30 11:31 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:49 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/30 10:13 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/30 09:04 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:55 AM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/30 08:19 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 08:04 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/30 07:58 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 06:44 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/30 06:28 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 05:24 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/30 04:43 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 03:10 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/30 12:16 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 10:05 PM | -- | -- | -11.0 |
| 11/29 04:44 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/29 04:44 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 04:13 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/29 02:58 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
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