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Michigan St at Penn St
Wed Dec 7, 2022
6:30pm ET
University Park, PA
Michigan St at Penn St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Penn St. by 4, Total Points: 136
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSU | adv | PSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 19-15-1 | 17-14-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-10-1 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | P1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-0-2 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-2-2 | |
| Home | 11-7-0 | 9-7-0 | |
| Away | 8-8-1 | 8-7-2 |
Michigan St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | James Mad | -16.5 | L by 3 | -19.5 |
| 11/09 | Home | S Indiana | -32.0 | W by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/14 | Neutral | Duke | +4.0 | L by 9 | -5.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Butler | -10.0 | W by 20 | +10.0 |
| 11/19 | Home | Alcorn St | -23.0 | W by 32 | +9.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Arizona | +5.5 | L by 6 | -0.5 |
| 11/28 | Home | GA Southern | -28.5 | W by 31 | +2.5 |
| 12/05 | Home | Wisconsin | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
| 12/10 | Away | Nebraska | -3.5 | L by 7 | -10.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Baylor | +3.5 | W by 24 | +27.5 |
| 12/18 | Home | Oakland | -15.5 | W by 17 | +1.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stony Brook | -22.5 | W by 44 | +21.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Indiana St | -8.5 | W by 12 | +3.5 |
| 01/04 | Home | Penn St | -13.5 | W by 31 | +17.5 |
| 01/07 | Away | Northwestern | -3.0 | L by 14 | -17.0 |
| 01/11 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 01/14 | Home | Rutgers | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 01/18 | Home | Minnesota | -12.0 | W by 10 | -2.0 |
| 01/21 | Away | Maryland | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 01/26 | Away | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 01/30 | Home | Michigan | -12.0 | W by 19 | +7.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Maryland | -6.0 | W by 9 | +3.0 |
| 02/06 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Illinois | -3.5 | W by 8 | +4.5 |
| 02/14 | Away | Penn St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Michigan | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 02/20 | Home | Iowa | -9.5 | L by 7 | -16.5 |
| 02/25 | Home | Ohio St | -10.0 | L by 3 | -13.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Purdue | +10.0 | L by 6 | +4.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Northwestern | -9.0 | W by 4 | -5.0 |
| 03/10 | Away | Indiana | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 10 | +3.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Purdue | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Miss State | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 16 | -12.0 |
Penn St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Delaware St | -19.5 | W by 34 | +14.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Lehigh | -17.5 | W by 9 | -8.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | St Fran (PA) | -30.5 | W by 30 | -0.5 |
| 11/17 | Home | Morehead St | -13.0 | W by 23 | +10.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Texas A&M | +8.0 | L by 12 | -4.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Butler | (Pick) | L by 10 | -10.0 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | VCU | -2.5 | L by 12 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Bucknell | -21.5 | L by 9 | -30.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | Maryland | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Ohio St | +5.0 | W by 3 | +8.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | GA Tech | -3.5 | L by 1 | -4.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Le Moyne | -21.5 | W by 17 | -4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | Rider | -13.5 | W by 27 | +13.5 |
| 01/04 | Away | Michigan St | +13.5 | L by 31 | -17.5 |
| 01/07 | Neutral | Michigan | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Northwestern | +1.5 | L by 4 | -2.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Purdue | +18.0 | L by 17 | +1.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Wisconsin | +5.5 | W by 4 | +9.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Ohio St | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Minnesota | -2.5 | L by 9 | -11.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Rutgers | +7.5 | W by 15 | +22.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Indiana | +7.0 | W by 14 | +21.0 |
| 02/08 | Home | Iowa | +1.0 | W by 10 | +11.0 |
| 02/11 | Away | Northwestern | +7.5 | L by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/14 | Home | Michigan St | +3.0 | L by 8 | -5.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Nebraska | +8.0 | L by 19 | -11.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Illinois | +7.5 | W by 1 | +8.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Indiana | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 02/27 | Away | Iowa | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Minnesota | +7.0 | L by 5 | +2.0 |
| 03/10 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | W by 16 | +17.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Michigan | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Indiana | +2.0 | L by 2 | 0.0 |
| PSU -4.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -4.5 | Low | -3.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3150 games where the closing line favored the home team by 3 to 5 points. In these games:
- The team like Penn St. won the game 2001 times (63.5%).
- The team like Michigan St. won the game 1149 times (36.5%).
- The team like Penn St. did better against the spread, going 1543-1530-77 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3251 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan St. did better against the spread, going 1621-1577-53 (50.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| Open | -3.5 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/07 06:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/07 06:23 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:04 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:40 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 05:25 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:52 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:14 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/07 12:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 12:11 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 11:56 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 10:37 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/07 08:44 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:37 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 08:01 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 06:22 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 01:28 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 08:46 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 07:34 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 12/06 05:31 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:55 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:28 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
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