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Fairfield vs. Mercer
Sat Nov 26, 2022
7:30pm ET
Savannah, GA
(Neutral Site)
Fairfield vs. Mercer: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mercer by 3.5, Total Points: 134
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FAIR | adv | MER |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 16-19-1 | 17-12-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 11-11-1 | 11-8-1 | |
| Streak | L2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-1-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 6-3-1 | |
| Home | 7-6-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| Away | 9-13-1 | 9-8-1 |
Fairfield Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Away | Boston Col | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Rhode Island | +10.5 | L by 13 | -2.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Mount Saint Mary College | -- | W by 47 | -- |
| 11/17 | Away | Drexel | +9.5 | L by 18 | -8.5 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Queens | +3.5 | L by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Hampshire | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 12/01 | Home | Iona | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | Rider | +4.0 | W by 7 | +11.0 |
| 12/06 | Away | Yale | +16.5 | W by 4 | +20.5 |
| 12/09 | Away | Sacred Hrt | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Wagner | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 12/21 | Away | F Dickinson | -2.5 | W by 23 | +20.5 |
| 12/30 | Home | Le Moyne | -9.5 | W by 6 | -3.5 |
| 01/05 | Away | Siena | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| 01/07 | Home | Marist | -2.0 | W by 21 | +19.0 |
| 01/12 | Away | Niagara | -2.0 | L by 24 | -26.0 |
| 01/15 | Away | Canisius | +2.0 | W by 25 | +27.0 |
| 01/19 | Home | St Peters | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Manhattan | -8.0 | W by 7 | -1.0 |
| 01/28 | Home | Quinnipiac | -1.5 | L by 2 | -3.5 |
| 02/02 | Away | Iona | +5.0 | L by 9 | -4.0 |
| 02/04 | Home | Manhattan | -9.5 | W by 9 | -0.5 |
| 02/08 | Home | Rider | -5.5 | W by 17 | +11.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | St Peters | -3.5 | W by 2 | -1.5 |
| 02/16 | Home | Niagara | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| 02/18 | Home | Mt St Marys | -4.5 | W by 14 | +9.5 |
| 02/23 | Away | Quinnipiac | +3.0 | W by 4 | +7.0 |
| 02/25 | Home | Siena | -17.5 | W by 24 | +6.5 |
| 03/01 | Away | Marist | -2.0 | L by 3 | -5.0 |
| 03/07 | Home | Canisius | -9.0 | W by 12 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Mt St Marys | -1.0 | W by 4 | +3.0 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Iona | -5.0 | W by 5 | 0.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Marist | -5.0 | W by 4 | -1.0 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | St Peters | -3.0 | L by 5 | -8.0 |
| 03/24 | Neutral | AR Lit Rock | +1.5 | W by 7 | +8.5 |
| 03/25 | Neutral | Chicago St | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 03/26 | Neutral | Seattle | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
Mercer Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Clark Atlanta | -- | L by 7 | -- |
| 11/09 | Away | Chicago St | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 11/14 | Away | Morehead St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 11/17 | Away | Alabama | +30.5 | L by 31 | -0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | TN State | +3.0 | W by 1 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Neutral | W Michigan | -1.0 | L by 6 | -7.0 |
| 12/01 | Away | Georgia | +13.5 | L by 11 | +2.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | S Alabama | -3.5 | L by 21 | -24.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Georgia St | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 12/16 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -1.5 | W by 5 | +3.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | Queens | -3.5 | W by 19 | +15.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Thomas (GA) | -- | W by 23 | -- |
| 12/29 | Home | Talladega | -- | W by 24 | -- |
| 01/03 | Away | E Tenn St | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | VMI | -4.5 | W by 22 | +17.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Wofford | +5.0 | L by 1 | +4.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | W Carolina | +3.5 | L by 12 | -8.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Chattanooga | +2.5 | L by 14 | -11.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Samford | +13.0 | L by 7 | +6.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Citadel | +1.5 | L by 2 | -0.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | NC-Grnsboro | +11.5 | W by 6 | +17.5 |
| 01/31 | Home | E Tenn St | -1.5 | L by 5 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VMI | -12.5 | W by 21 | +8.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Furman | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | W Carolina | +7.0 | L by 33 | -26.0 |
| 02/14 | Home | Wofford | -2.0 | L by 13 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | Samford | +10.0 | W by 4 | +14.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Citadel | -7.0 | W by 9 | +2.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | NC-Grnsboro | +4.5 | W by 14 | +18.5 |
| 02/28 | Away | Chattanooga | +9.0 | L by 9 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Furman | +9.5 | W by 7 | +16.5 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Citadel | -5.0 | W by 8 | +3.0 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | Samford | +9.5 | L by 13 | -3.5 |
| MER -3.5 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3183 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mercer won the game 1963 times (61.7%).
- The team like Fairfield won the game 1220 times (38.3%).
- The team like Mercer did better against the spread, going 1576-1553-54 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4093 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Fairfield did better against the spread, going 2047-1964-82 (51.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -4.0 | -4.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/26 07:29 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 05:34 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 11:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 11/26 11:10 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 11:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 08:54 AM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 11/26 08:04 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/26 07:40 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
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