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Indiana St at Louisville
Wed Nov 13, 2019
8:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
Indiana St at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 21, Total Points: 145.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | INST | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 22-15-1 | 13-18-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-9-1 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 11-4-1 | 5-12-1 | |
| Away | 11-11-0 | 8-6-0 |
Indiana St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Saint Mary-Of-The-Woods | -- | W by 30 | -- |
| 11/10 | Away | Alabama | +17.0 | L by 22 | -5.0 |
| 11/14 | Home | IUPUI | -17.5 | W by 39 | +21.5 |
| 11/21 | Neutral | Rice | -6.5 | W by 15 | +8.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Pepperdine | -7.5 | W by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Toledo | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | S Illinois | -7.0 | W by 29 | +22.0 |
| 12/02 | Away | Bradley | +3.0 | W by 8 | +11.0 |
| 12/05 | Away | N Illinois | -7.0 | W by 23 | +16.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | S Indiana | -21.0 | W by 44 | +23.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Ball St | -15.5 | W by 11 | -4.5 |
| 12/19 | Home | TN State | -17.5 | W by 21 | +3.5 |
| 12/30 | Away | Michigan St | +8.5 | L by 12 | -3.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Evansville | -15.0 | W by 14 | -1.0 |
| 01/07 | Away | N Iowa | -2.5 | W by 11 | +8.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Drake | +2.5 | L by 11 | -8.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | Belmont | -11.5 | W by 30 | +18.5 |
| 01/16 | Home | Missouri St | -12.5 | W by 22 | +9.5 |
| 01/21 | Away | Murray St | -5.5 | W by 9 | +3.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | IL-Chicago | -11.0 | W by 6 | -5.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Bradley | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 01/31 | Away | Belmont | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Drake | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Valparaiso | -20.5 | W by 40 | +19.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri St | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Illinois St | -17.5 | L by 13 | -30.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Illinois | -4.5 | L by 5 | -9.5 |
| 02/21 | Away | Valparaiso | -14.0 | W by 19 | +5.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | IL-Chicago | -15.0 | W by 15 | 0.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Evansville | -10.5 | W by 18 | +7.5 |
| 03/03 | Home | Murray St | -14.0 | W by 12 | -2.0 |
| 03/08 | Neutral | Missouri St | -11.5 | W by 16 | +4.5 |
| 03/09 | Neutral | N Iowa | -7.5 | W by 22 | +14.5 |
| 03/10 | Neutral | Drake | -3.0 | L by 4 | -7.0 |
| 03/20 | Home | S Methodist | -7.5 | W by 9 | +1.5 |
| 03/24 | Home | Minnesota | -7.0 | W by 12 | +5.0 |
| 03/26 | Home | Cincinnati | -5.5 | W by 4 | -1.5 |
| 04/02 | Neutral | Utah | -4.5 | W by 10 | +5.5 |
| 04/04 | Neutral | Seton Hall | -3.0 | L by 2 | -5.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Maryland BC | -7.5 | W by 1 | -6.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Chattanooga | -4.0 | L by 10 | -14.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Coppin St | -17.5 | W by 20 | +2.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Texas | +17.5 | L by 1 | +16.5 |
| 11/20 | Neutral | Indiana | +8.5 | L by 8 | +0.5 |
| 11/26 | Home | N Mex State | -8.5 | W by 6 | -2.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Bellarmine | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 12/03 | Away | VA Tech | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 12/09 | Away | DePaul | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Arkansas St | -3.5 | L by 12 | -15.5 |
| 12/17 | Home | Pepperdine | -1.0 | W by 22 | +21.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Kentucky | +14.0 | L by 19 | -5.0 |
| 01/03 | Away | Virginia | +15.5 | L by 24 | -8.5 |
| 01/06 | Home | Pittsburgh | +8.5 | L by 13 | -4.5 |
| 01/10 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | W by 9 | +25.5 |
| 01/13 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 6 | +1.5 |
| 01/17 | Away | N Carolina | +21.0 | L by 16 | +5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +16.0 | L by 25 | -9.0 |
| 01/23 | Home | Duke | +14.0 | L by 14 | 0.0 |
| 01/27 | Home | Virginia | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Clemson | +16.0 | L by 6 | +10.0 |
| 02/03 | Home | Florida St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 02/07 | Away | Syracuse | +8.5 | L by 2 | +6.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | W by 12 | +11.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Boston Col | +9.5 | L by 12 | -2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | Pittsburgh | +12.5 | L by 27 | -14.5 |
| 02/21 | Home | Notre Dame | -3.0 | L by 22 | -25.0 |
| 02/28 | Away | Duke | +20.5 | L by 25 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Home | Syracuse | +5.0 | L by 6 | -1.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | VA Tech | +7.5 | L by 16 | -8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Boston Col | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | NC State | +9.5 | L by 9 | +0.5 |
| LOU -21.0 | Open | -23.0 | High | -23.0 |
| Last | -20.0 | Low | -20.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 336 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20 to 22 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 327 times (97.3%).
- The team like Indiana St. won the game 9 times (2.7%).
- The team like Indiana St. did better against the spread, going 165-160-11 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 822 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 417-386-19 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.0 | -20.5 | -20.5 |
| Open | -22.5 | -22.5 | -22.5 |
| History | |||
| 11/13 07:52 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 05:45 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 05:11 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 01:35 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 11/13 01:25 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -20.5 |
| 11/13 12:15 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 10:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 11/13 10:45 AM | -- | -- | -21.0 |
| 11/13 10:36 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 10:29 AM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/13 12:04 AM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/12 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -22.5 |
| 11/12 06:24 PM | -- | -22.5 | -- |
| 11/12 06:08 PM | -22.5 | -- | -- |
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