NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring INST LOU
Points 88.6 72.4
Total Points   161.0
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 42.2
Points From 3-Pointers 35.3 15.6
Points From Free Throws 17.5 14.6
Shooting INST LOU
Field Goals Made 29.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.8 58.3
Field Goal % 54.2% 45.1%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 21.1
2 Pointers Attempted 25.5 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 70.4% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 11.8 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 29.3 16.3
3 Point Shooting % 40.1% 32.1%
Free Throws Made 17.5 14.6
Free Throws Attempted 21.7 19.6
Free Throw % 80.7% 74.2%
Ball Control INST LOU
Rebounds 33.0 29.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.4 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 5.5 7.5
Turnovers 11.4 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.8 2.7
Steals 6.2 5.5
Fouls 16.9 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Indiana St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats INST LOU
Total Possessions 73.5
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 70.4
% of Possessions with INST LOU
2 Point Attempt 31.8% 51.4%
3 Point Attempt 36.5% 19.9%
Player Fouled 22.1% 22.9%
Turnover 15.5% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken INST LOU
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 20.2% 21.5%