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N Carolina at VA Tech
Wed Jan 22, 2020
8:00pm ET
Blacksburg, VA
N Carolina at VA Tech: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Virginia Tech by 7.5, Total Points: 138
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | VT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 15-19-0 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-10-0 | 8-13-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 11-6-0 | |
| Away | 13-9-0 | 4-13-0 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
VA Tech Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Coppin St | -28.0 | W by 45 | +17.0 |
| 11/10 | Neutral | S Carolina | -6.0 | L by 2 | -8.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Campbell | -21.5 | W by 16 | -5.5 |
| 11/19 | Home | Wofford | -18.0 | W by 22 | +4.0 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Boise St | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Iowa St | +5.5 | W by 9 | +14.5 |
| 11/26 | Neutral | Fla Atlantic | +2.5 | L by 34 | -31.5 |
| 11/29 | Away | Auburn | +9.0 | L by 17 | -8.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Louisville | -14.0 | W by 7 | -7.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Valparaiso | -21.5 | W by 21 | -0.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | Vermont | -10.5 | W by 22 | +11.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | American | -17.0 | W by 22 | +5.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.5 | L by 23 | -18.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 3 | -4.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Clemson | +2.0 | W by 15 | +17.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Miami | -2.0 | L by 4 | -6.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Virginia | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | W by 6 | +10.5 |
| 01/23 | Home | Boston Col | -4.5 | W by 5 | +0.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | GA Tech | -9.5 | W by 24 | +14.5 |
| 01/29 | Home | Duke | +3.5 | L by 10 | -6.5 |
| 02/03 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 8 | -4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Notre Dame | -5.5 | L by 8 | -13.5 |
| 02/13 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | W by 8 | +2.5 |
| 02/17 | Away | N Carolina | +11.0 | L by 15 | -4.0 |
| 02/19 | Home | Virginia | -3.5 | W by 34 | +30.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | Pittsburgh | +3.0 | L by 15 | -12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 13 | -12.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -1.5 | W by 11 | +9.5 |
| 03/05 | Away | Louisville | -7.5 | W by 16 | +8.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Notre Dame | -10.5 | W by 6 | -4.5 |
| 03/13 | Neutral | Florida St | -4.5 | L by 10 | -14.5 |
| 03/19 | Home | Richmond | -6.0 | W by 16 | +10.0 |
| 03/23 | Away | Ohio St | +6.0 | L by 8 | -2.0 |
| VT -7.5 | Open | -7.5 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2703 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6 to 8 points. In these games:
- The team like Virginia Tech won the game 2011 times (74.4%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 692 times (25.6%).
- The team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 1319-1314-70 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4356 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 2153-2117-86 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.0 | -7.5 | -7.5 |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -7.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/22 07:58 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:44 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 01/22 07:33 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 07:05 PM | -- | -- | -7.5 |
| 01/22 06:57 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 06:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/22 06:45 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/22 03:50 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:09 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 02:04 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/22 01:45 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/22 01:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 01/22 01:25 PM | -- | -- | -6.0 |
| 01/22 01:19 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 11:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/22 10:45 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 10:05 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/22 09:45 AM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/22 09:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/22 08:55 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 08:34 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 01/22 08:25 AM | -- | -- | -6.5 |
| 01/22 07:37 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 05:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/22 03:17 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 10:35 PM | -- | -- | -7.0 |
| 01/21 09:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/21 07:00 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 01/21 06:45 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/21 05:57 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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