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N Carolina at Miami
Tue Jan 18, 2022
7:00pm ET
Coral Gables, FL
N Carolina at Miami: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: North Carolina by 2.5, Total Points: 153.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | MIA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 14-16-2 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-10-0 | 7-12-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 8-8-1 | |
| Away | 13-9-0 | 6-8-1 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
Miami Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NJIT | -24.5 | W by 41 | +16.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | UCF | -9.5 | W by 16 | +6.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Florida Intl | -23.0 | W by 6 | -17.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | Georgia | -7.5 | W by 11 | +3.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Kansas St | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Kentucky | +6.0 | L by 22 | -16.0 |
| 12/02 | Home | Notre Dame | -14.5 | W by 13 | -1.5 |
| 12/06 | Home | LIU | -30.0 | W by 48 | +18.0 |
| 12/10 | Neutral | Colorado | -1.5 | L by 27 | -28.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | La Salle | -15.5 | W by 7 | -8.5 |
| 12/21 | Home | Stonehill | -29.5 | W by 38 | +8.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | N Florida | -19.5 | W by 40 | +20.5 |
| 01/03 | Home | Clemson | +1.5 | W by 13 | +14.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | Wake Forest | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Louisville | -16.5 | L by 9 | -25.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | VA Tech | +2.0 | W by 4 | +6.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Florida St | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Syracuse | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Notre Dame | -4.5 | W by 12 | +7.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | NC State | +4.5 | L by 6 | -1.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | VA Tech | -4.0 | W by 8 | +4.0 |
| 02/05 | Away | Virginia | +5.5 | L by 22 | -16.5 |
| 02/10 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 3 | +1.0 |
| 02/14 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 17 | -10.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | Boston Col | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Duke | +7.0 | L by 29 | -22.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | GA Tech | -9.0 | L by 4 | -13.0 |
| 02/26 | Away | N Carolina | +14.0 | L by 4 | +10.0 |
| 03/06 | Home | Boston Col | -5.5 | L by 10 | -15.5 |
| 03/09 | Away | Florida St | +4.5 | L by 8 | -3.5 |
| 03/12 | Neutral | Boston Col | -3.0 | L by 16 | -19.0 |
| UNC -2.5 | Open | -2.0 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -2.0 | Low | -2.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2284 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like North Carolina won the game 1274 times (55.8%).
- The team like Miami won the game 1010 times (44.2%).
- The team like Miami did better against the spread, going 1152-1097-35 (51.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 NCAA Basketball season there have been 4669 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like North Carolina did better against the spread, going 2304-2273-92 (50.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.0 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| Open | -2.5 | -2.5 | -2.5 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 06:58 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 06:04 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 05:28 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 04:22 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:37 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 02:28 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 12:40 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:35 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 11:31 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/18 10:07 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:34 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 09:14 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 01/18 08:05 AM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/18 03:49 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 01/17 11:46 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 10:25 PM | -- | -- | -2.5 |
| 01/17 09:37 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 07:24 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
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