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N Carolina at Pittsburgh
Sat Jan 18, 2020
12:00pm ET
Pittsburgh, PA
N Carolina at Pittsburgh: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Pittsburgh by 3, Total Points: 137
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UNC | adv | PITT |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 21-16-0 | 21-9-3 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 13-10-0 | 14-6-2 | |
| Streak | L1 | W5 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 8-1-1 | |
| Home | 8-7-0 | 11-6-1 | |
| Away | 13-9-0 | 10-3-2 |
N Carolina Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Radford | -18.5 | W by 16 | -2.5 |
| 11/12 | Home | Lehigh | -24.0 | W by 22 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | UC Riverside | -23.5 | W by 25 | +1.5 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | N Iowa | -11.5 | W by 22 | +10.5 |
| 11/23 | Neutral | Villanova | -2.5 | L by 2 | -4.5 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Arkansas | -3.5 | W by 15 | +11.5 |
| 11/29 | Home | Tennessee | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 12/02 | Home | Florida St | -12.0 | W by 8 | -4.0 |
| 12/05 | Neutral | Connecticut | +5.5 | L by 11 | -5.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Kentucky | -1.0 | L by 4 | -5.0 |
| 12/20 | Neutral | Oklahoma | -3.0 | W by 12 | +9.0 |
| 12/29 | Home | Charl South | -30.5 | W by 45 | +14.5 |
| 01/02 | Away | Pittsburgh | -4.0 | W by 13 | +9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Clemson | +3.0 | W by 10 | +13.0 |
| 01/10 | Away | NC State | -3.0 | W by 13 | +10.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Syracuse | -12.0 | W by 36 | +24.0 |
| 01/17 | Home | Louisville | -21.0 | W by 16 | -5.0 |
| 01/20 | Away | Boston Col | -7.5 | W by 10 | +2.5 |
| 01/22 | Home | Wake Forest | -8.0 | W by 21 | +13.0 |
| 01/27 | Away | Florida St | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 01/30 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 1 | -9.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Duke | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 02/06 | Home | Clemson | -6.5 | L by 4 | -10.5 |
| 02/10 | Away | Miami | -4.0 | W by 3 | -1.0 |
| 02/13 | Away | Syracuse | -8.0 | L by 7 | -15.0 |
| 02/17 | Home | VA Tech | -11.0 | W by 15 | +4.0 |
| 02/24 | Away | Virginia | -2.5 | W by 10 | +7.5 |
| 02/26 | Home | Miami | -14.0 | W by 4 | -10.0 |
| 03/02 | Home | NC State | -11.0 | W by 9 | -2.0 |
| 03/05 | Home | Notre Dame | -16.0 | W by 33 | +17.0 |
| 03/09 | Away | Duke | +4.5 | W by 5 | +9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Florida St | -11.0 | W by 25 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Pittsburgh | -7.5 | W by 7 | -0.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | NC State | -10.0 | L by 8 | -18.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Wagner | -25.5 | W by 28 | +2.5 |
| 03/23 | Neutral | Michigan St | -4.0 | W by 16 | +12.0 |
| 03/28 | Neutral | Alabama | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
Pittsburgh Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | NC A&T | -23.5 | W by 48 | +24.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Binghamton | -17.5 | W by 29 | +11.5 |
| 11/13 | Home | Fla Gulf Cst | -10.0 | W by 12 | +2.0 |
| 11/17 | Home | Jacksonville | -16.0 | W by 51 | +35.0 |
| 11/22 | Neutral | Florida | +5.0 | L by 15 | -10.0 |
| 11/24 | Neutral | Oregon St | -10.0 | W by 25 | +15.0 |
| 11/28 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | L by 7 | -14.0 |
| 12/03 | Home | Clemson | -1.5 | L by 9 | -10.5 |
| 12/06 | Away | W Virginia | -3.5 | W by 17 | +13.5 |
| 12/09 | Home | Canisius | -17.5 | W by 11 | -6.5 |
| 12/16 | Home | S Car State | -28.5 | W by 36 | +7.5 |
| 12/20 | Home | IPFW | -14.0 | W by 14 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Away | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 8 | -7.0 |
| 01/02 | Home | N Carolina | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Louisville | -8.5 | W by 13 | +4.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Duke | +5.0 | L by 22 | -17.0 |
| 01/16 | Home | Syracuse | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 01/20 | Away | Duke | +12.5 | W by 4 | +16.5 |
| 01/23 | Away | GA Tech | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Miami | +4.0 | L by 4 | 0.0 |
| 01/31 | Home | Wake Forest | -2.5 | W by 5 | +2.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Notre Dame | -9.0 | W by 10 | +1.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | NC State | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Virginia | +6.5 | W by 11 | +17.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Louisville | -12.5 | W by 27 | +14.5 |
| 02/20 | Away | Wake Forest | +6.0 | L by 33 | -27.0 |
| 02/24 | Home | VA Tech | -3.0 | W by 15 | +12.0 |
| 02/27 | Away | Clemson | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 03/02 | Away | Boston Col | -1.5 | W by 25 | +23.5 |
| 03/05 | Home | Florida St | -7.5 | W by 15 | +7.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | NC State | -6.5 | W by 8 | +1.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +2.0 | W by 12 | +14.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | N Carolina | +7.5 | L by 7 | +0.5 |
| PITT -3.0 | Open | -4.0 | High | -4.0 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -3.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2885 games where the closing line favored the home team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Pittsburgh won the game 1707 times (59.2%).
- The team like North Carolina won the game 1178 times (40.8%).
- The team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 1416-1403-66 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 NCAA Basketball season there have been 994 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Pittsburgh did better against the spread, going 505-468-21 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -- | -3.0 |
| Open | -4.5 | -- | -4.0 |
| History | |||
| 01/18 11:57 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 11:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:38 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 10:35 AM | -- | -- | -3.0 |
| 01/18 09:15 AM | -- | -- | -3.5 |
| 01/18 09:13 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 08:45 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 08:42 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 07:35 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 07:35 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 03:55 AM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/18 03:53 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/18 01:09 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/17 11:55 PM | -- | -- | -4.0 |
| 01/17 09:17 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
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