NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MRSH TOL
Points 77.9 79.7
Total Points   157.6
Points From 2-Pointers 42.6 42.6
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 20.2
Points From Free Throws 9.9 16.9
Shooting MRSH TOL
Field Goals Made 29.7 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 64.1 60.7
Field Goal % 46.4% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 21.3 21.3
2 Pointers Attempted 38.6 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 55.1% 48.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.5 17.1
3 Point Shooting % 33.2% 39.5%
Free Throws Made 9.9 16.9
Free Throws Attempted 13.9 22.8
Free Throw % 71.7% 74.2%
Ball Control MRSH TOL
Rebounds 36.5 35.6
Rebounds - Defensive 26.3 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.2 9.2
Turnovers 11.1 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.3 1.4
Steals 6.3 6.7
Fouls 16.1 12.2

Playing Style Advantage: Marshall

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MRSH TOL
Total Possessions 74.3
Effective Scoring Chances 73.4 73.6
% of Possessions with MRSH TOL
2 Point Attempt 45.4% 50.9%
3 Point Attempt 30.0% 19.9%
Player Fouled 16.4% 21.7%
Turnover 14.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 9.1% 8.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken MRSH TOL
Shot Blocked 2.3% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.8% 25.8%