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LSU at Miss State
Wed Feb 8, 2023
9:00pm ET
Starkville, MS
LSU at Miss State: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi State by 9, Total Points: 125.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | LSU | adv | MSST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 13-20-0 | 17-17-1 | |
| vs Division | 0-0-0 | 0-0-0 | |
| vs Conference | 8-11-0 | 9-11-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 6-12-0 | 6-8-1 | |
| Away | 7-8-0 | 11-9-0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06 | Home | Miss Val St | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 11/10 | Home | Nicholls | -19.5 | L by 2 | -21.5 |
| 11/16 | Neutral | Dayton | +1.0 | L by 3 | -2.0 |
| 11/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -2.5 | W by 4 | +1.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Wake Forest | +1.0 | W by 6 | +7.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | N Florida | -22.0 | W by 12 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | Syracuse | +1.5 | L by 23 | -21.5 |
| 12/01 | Home | SE Louisiana | -16.0 | W by 7 | -9.0 |
| 12/09 | Home | Kansas St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 12/13 | Home | Alabama St | -21.5 | W by 18 | -3.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Texas | +7.0 | L by 11 | -4.0 |
| 12/21 | Home | Lamar | -16.5 | W by 21 | +4.5 |
| 12/29 | Home | NW State | -25.0 | W by 41 | +16.0 |
| 01/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +11.5 | W by 15 | +26.5 |
| 01/09 | Home | Vanderbilt | -8.5 | W by 8 | -0.5 |
| 01/13 | Away | Auburn | +13.5 | L by 15 | -1.5 |
| 01/17 | Home | Mississippi | -3.0 | W by 9 | +6.0 |
| 01/20 | Home | Texas A&M | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 01/24 | Away | Georgia | +4.5 | L by 2 | +2.5 |
| 01/27 | Away | Alabama | +12.5 | L by 21 | -8.5 |
| 02/03 | Home | Arkansas | -5.0 | W by 21 | +16.0 |
| 02/07 | Away | Tennessee | +14.0 | L by 20 | -6.0 |
| 02/10 | Home | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 17 | -8.5 |
| 02/13 | Away | Florida | +11.0 | L by 2 | +9.0 |
| 02/17 | Away | S Carolina | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Kentucky | +6.5 | W by 1 | +7.5 |
| 02/24 | Home | Miss State | +3.5 | L by 20 | -16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Georgia | -5.5 | W by 1 | -4.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Vanderbilt | -3.5 | W by 14 | +10.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Arkansas | +4.5 | L by 11 | -6.5 |
| 03/09 | Home | Missouri | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | Miss State | +5.0 | L by 10 | -5.0 |
| 03/19 | Home | North Texas | -2.5 | L by 7 | -9.5 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Neutral | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 15 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | TN Martin | -21.5 | W by 24 | +2.5 |
| 11/14 | Home | N Alabama | -18.0 | W by 27 | +9.0 |
| 11/18 | Neutral | Wash State | -7.5 | W by 12 | +4.5 |
| 11/19 | Neutral | Northwestern | -3.5 | W by 9 | +5.5 |
| 11/24 | Home | Nicholls | -23.0 | W by 13 | -10.0 |
| 11/28 | Away | GA Tech | -8.5 | L by 8 | -16.5 |
| 12/03 | Home | Southern | -26.0 | L by 1 | -27.0 |
| 12/09 | Neutral | Tulane | -6.5 | W by 30 | +23.5 |
| 12/13 | Home | Murray St | -16.0 | W by 4 | -12.0 |
| 12/17 | Neutral | North Texas | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Rutgers | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 12/31 | Home | Beth-Cook | -30.5 | W by 23 | -7.5 |
| 01/06 | Away | S Carolina | -3.0 | L by 6 | -9.0 |
| 01/10 | Home | Tennessee | +2.0 | W by 5 | +7.0 |
| 01/13 | Home | Alabama | -1.0 | L by 8 | -9.0 |
| 01/17 | Away | Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 13 | -6.5 |
| 01/20 | Home | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 13 | 0.0 |
| 01/24 | Away | Florida | +4.5 | L by 9 | -4.5 |
| 01/27 | Home | Auburn | +3.0 | W by 6 | +9.0 |
| 01/30 | Away | Mississippi | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 02/03 | Away | Alabama | +8.5 | L by 32 | -23.5 |
| 02/07 | Home | Georgia | -9.0 | W by 13 | +4.0 |
| 02/10 | Away | Missouri | -7.5 | W by 24 | +16.5 |
| 02/17 | Home | Arkansas | -11.0 | W by 4 | -7.0 |
| 02/21 | Home | Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 12 | +5.5 |
| 02/24 | Away | LSU | -3.5 | W by 20 | +16.5 |
| 02/27 | Home | Kentucky | -4.5 | L by 2 | -6.5 |
| 03/02 | Away | Auburn | +10.5 | L by 15 | -4.5 |
| 03/06 | Away | Texas A&M | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 03/09 | Home | S Carolina | -5.5 | L by 4 | -9.5 |
| 03/14 | Neutral | LSU | -5.0 | W by 10 | +5.0 |
| 03/15 | Neutral | Tennessee | +9.5 | W by 17 | +26.5 |
| 03/16 | Neutral | Auburn | +8.0 | L by 7 | +1.0 |
| 03/21 | Neutral | Michigan St | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| MSST -9.0 | Open | -9.0 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -9.5 | Low | -9.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 NCAA Basketball season there have been 2528 games where the closing line favored the home team by 8 to 10 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 2082 times (82.4%).
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 446 times (17.6%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 1254-1215-59 (50.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 NCAA Basketball season there have been 3879 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by the same as the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 1910-1899-70 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| Open | -10.5 | -- | -- |
| History | |||
| 02/08 08:49 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 07:34 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 05:28 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:34 PM | -9.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:13 PM | -9.5 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 01:13 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 09:20 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 08:07 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 02:19 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/08 12:31 AM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 09:49 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 07:46 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 04:28 PM | -10.0 | -- | -- |
| 02/07 03:59 PM | -10.5 | -- | -- |
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